The NBA’s Christmas Day slate has been highly anticipated since the 2024-25 schedule was announced in August. The five-game schedule is filled with superstar matchups, highly anticipated rivalries and a few holiday debuts for some rising stars.
Victor Wembanyama, fresh off a handful of history-making performances, makes his Christmas debut as the San Antonio Spurs take on Karl-Anthony Towns and the new-look New York Knicks. Will the French phenom Dunk the Halls, or can Jalen Brunson & Co. get a win in front of the home crowd at the Garden? In a rematch of the Western Conference finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Dallas Mavericks in their second meeting this season. Will Anthony Edwards get the best of the Mavs this time?
The dominant Boston Celtics will take on the struggling Philadelphia 76ers to kick off the evening slate, while LeBron James and the visiting Los Angeles Lakers will face Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors. James is the career leader in points (476) and games played (18) on Christmas. Lastly, MVP-favorite Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets will take on the host Phoenix Suns to wrap up the holiday festivities.
Which stars will shine the brightest this holiday season? What teams will need a Christmas miracle to boost them to the postseason? Our NBA insiders preview all five matchups by answering some of the biggest questions surrounding these teams.
What are the next steps this season for the Spurs to become playoff contenders with Victor Wembanyama?
In Thursday’s win over Atlanta, the Spurs finally played with the starting lineup they envisioned at the start of training camp. Injuries to Devin Vassell and Jeremy Sochan kept them out for extended periods, thrusting rookie Stephon Castle into the starting lineup along with sharpshooter Julian Champagnie. Now that everybody is healthy, it’s up to the coaching staff to figure out optimal lineups to play alongside the franchise centerpiece. Acting head coach Mitch Johnson said it’s a good problem to have, especially considering all the experience gained by reserves playing more prominent roles earlier in the season. Wembanyama is already doing his part by gradually picking up the diverse strategies teams are using to defend him and learning how to use teammates more effectively in attacking them. — Michael Wright
Will the return of Mitchell Robinson be enough to give the Knicks a deep postseason run?
With how the Knicks are playing (third in the East) — and with how much they invested in upgrading their starting five this past offseason, with trades for Karl-Anthony Towns and Mikal Bridges — they have expectations to make a deep postseason run regardless of when Robinson comes back. The team is dominant offensively (second in the league) and has made considerable strides on defense over the past month despite a slow start. A healthy Robinson will give the team depth at center (a must given Towns’ occasional foul troubles) and improved rim protection. — Chris Herring
What will Wemby’s Christmas debut against the Knicks look like (KAT vs. Wemby)?
Dominant, if Wembanyama’s recent production is any indication. Over five games since returning from low back soreness, Wembanyama has averaged 29 PPG on near 40% 3-point shooting as well as 5.2 BPG, including a career-high-tying 10 Saturday against the Portland Trail Blazers. Because of Wembanyama’s dangerous shooting, New York may put forward OG Anunoby on him rather than Towns. But that would give Wembanyama a massive eight-inch height advantage that Anunoby will seek to negate with his lower center of gravity. Anunoby defended Wembanyama in their lone meeting in November 2023, when Wembanyama scored 20 points on 7-of-16 shooting. — Kevin Pelton
What will it take for the Wolves to climb out of the play-in?
It’s a must for Minnesota to be an elite defensive team, which was the foundation of the Timberwolves’ success last season. That has happened in December, when the Wolves have had the stingiest defense in the NBA, allowing only 108.2 points per 100 possessions. Now, Minnesota has to work its way out of the muck offensively, which likely requires Donte DiVincenzo busting out of an extended slump. The Wolves anticipated that DiVincenzo’s volume 3-point shooting would boost their offense when they acquired him as part of the Towns trade, but he has shot only 37.3% from the floor and 33.1% from long range so far this season. — Tim MacMahon
What do the Mavs need to have a second-half surge like they did last season?
Stay healthy. This is the best the roster has looked during Luka Doncic’s career, as evidenced by the Mavs’ 6-2 record in games missed by their superstar. The Mavs might upgrade their frontcourt depth before the trade deadline, but unlike the past couple of seasons, Dallas doesn’t have any glaring needs. An opposing general manager told ESPN last week that the Thunder and Mavs are clearly the two best West teams. After a relatively slow start, Doncic’s best is likely yet to come this season, and he’s surrounded by a deep, well-rounded supporting cast. — MacMahon
Which duo dominates Christmas: Luka-Kyrie or Edwards-Randle?
First, we need to see whether Doncic returns to the lineup after missing two games with a heel contusion. Before the injury, Doncic delivered his best game of the season against the Warriors, a 45-point triple-double on 16-of-23 shooting. Having lost wing stopper Derrick Jones Jr. in the offseason, the Mavericks are no longer as well-equipped to defend Anthony Edwards, who went off for a game-high 37 points when these teams played in Minneapolis in October. But it was Doncic and Kyrie Irving who walked away winners, combining for 59 points and 13 assists. — Pelton
Should the 76ers reconsider their strategy and mark this season as a rebuild?
No, and for a variety of reasons. First, with the completely disastrous start, the 76ers enter Christmas with the league’s 24th worst-record with six teams behind them with better lottery odds. Plus, the team in front of them in the Eastern standings, the Brooklyn Nets, just traded their starting point guard, and there’s a chance they could play worse. Philadelphia has stabilized itself after its slow start, and Joel Embiid has impressed in his past couple of games. If the 76ers can have any sort of healthy stretch, they should be able to get themselves into the play-in, and if they can get into the playoffs healthy — a couple of huge ifs — they still believe they can make a deep run. — Tim Bontemps
How long will this dominant Celtics run last?
This season will play a large part in determining that. In its attempt to become the first Celtics team to defend a title since Bill Russell was playing, Boston also has one of the league’s highest payrolls — and is on pace to skyrocket to over $500 million in combined payroll and luxury taxes for the 2025-26 season. If the Celtics win the title, as they are favored to do, it’s virtually impossible to see them making a cost-saving move going into next season. But if they don’t? Well, then the math gets a little more interesting, especially when factoring in the looming sale of the team, which is expected to be completed between now and the end of the regular season. — Bontemps
What’s on the 76ers’ and Celtics’ wish list for this matchup?
For Philadelphia, it’s continued health for Embiid, Paul George and Tyrese Maxey, who have played together just five times all season. The Sixers have outscored opponents by 13 points per 100 possessions in the 71 minutes all three have played, according to NBA Advanced Stats, but are 2-2 in those games. Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla has already gotten his Christmas wish: 51 3-point attempts per game, eight more than any other team, and two more makes than the second-place Chicago Bulls. –Pelton
Can LeBron continue to be the gift that keeps on giving through a postseason run for Los Angeles?
In the crowded Western Conference, the Lakers’ playoff projection has varied vastly week to week. They ran out to a 10-4 record and were in third place on Nov. 20. Losses in seven of their next nine games dropped them to No. 10 on Dec. 6, with LeBron James appearing ineffective at best and destructive at worst. James took advantage of the schedule to take eight days off to rehabilitate his left foot and only missed two games. With James back in the lineup, the Lakers won three straight, climbing back to No. 5 in the West on Dec. 21. James was brilliant in Saturday’s win over Sacramento, commanding the defense while punishing the Kings inside, scoring 32 points on 13-for-24 shooting. L.A. should not need nor expect that version of James on a nightly basis to qualify for the playoffs — not if they want James to have something left in the tank for the postseason. But getting that level of engagement out of him, combined with Anthony Davis returning to the MVP form he showed to start the season, will keep L.A. on track for a playoff berth. — Dave McMenamin
How is Dennis Schroder fitting in with Stephen Curry & Co. so far?
The Warriors have only had three games with Dennis Schroder so far but it hasn’t taken him long to show flashes of what he can do. During Saturday’s win at Minnesota, Schroder displayed some of the leadership qualities he will bring beyond his play, initiating player huddles despite it being just his second game. Having another point guard is also going to benefit younger players like Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga. Podziemski had perhaps his best game of the season in Minnesota with 12 points and seven rebounds. The Warriors will need Schroder to make some outside shots and score, and it will take some time for Schroder to adapt, but he’s already shown why Golden State needs him. “That [Minnesota] game was so illuminating for me,” Kerr said. “Watching Dennis, his leadership, when we talk about point guard, it’s not just how to run pick and roll or guarding the ball, it’s leadership. What he did in that game, his second game with us, barely knowing anybody, pulling young guys aside, pulling the whole group together. He’s a true leader and that’s one of the reasons we wanted him.” — Ohm Youngmisuk
LeBron or Steph: Which superstar will have a better Christmas Day performance?
I’m betting on Curry in part because he gets to play against the weaker defense. The Lakers rank 20th in defensive rating this season, 11 spots behind the Warriors. Curry averaged 33 PPG as Golden State won the season series 3-1 in 2023-24, his highest scoring average against any opponent he faced more than twice. Of course, James was even better against the Warriors, putting up 36.3 points, 11.3 rebounds and 10.7 assists in the three games he played head-to-head. — Pelton
What do the Nuggets need before the trade deadline to build around Jokic?
The Nuggets are no longer a top-two team in the Western Conference but three-time MVP Nikola Jokic is still playing like the best player in the world. Jamal Murray is picking up his scoring lately, scoring 24 or more points in the three games prior to Monday night. Michael Porter Jr. (18.4 PPG) and Christian Braun (15.0 PPG) have been solid, as well as Russell Westbrook off the bench, but the Nuggets are in serious need of another reliable outside scorer who can create his own shot if they are to contend. On defense, they also need another perimeter stopper to help Aaron Gordon, Braun and Westbrook. Nuggets general manager Calvin Booth doesn’t have a ton of assets to work with, although Porter would likely have to be dealt in any trade for a significant player. But what their record doesn’t necessarily show is the championship chemistry between Porter, Jokic and Murray. — Ohm Youngmisuk
What are the biggest factors holding the Suns back this season and can they overcome them for the postseason?
Just like last season, the biggest factor keeping Phoenix from coalescing is cascading injuries suffered by their stars. Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal have each played only 17 games apiece this season. The 36-year-old Durant has been brilliant when he’s been on the court — averaging 27.4 points on 52/42/83 splits — and the Suns have been dreadful without him, going 1-9. While Phoenix has been linked to the Miami Heat’s Jimmy Butler as a potential trade destination, according to ESPN’s Shams Charania, the 35-year-old Butler comes with his own durability concerns. He’s missed 65 games over the past three seasons. On the plus side, even with the time their stars have missed, the Suns still have the No. 8 offense in the league under new coach Mike Budenholzer. If they can sustain their health — with Butler included or not — the Suns could still make a push from their No. 11 spot in the Western Conference standings by unleashing that offense on the rest of the league. — McMenamin
How do the Suns stop Jokic from crashing their Christmas?
Phoenix’s game plan against Jokic was solid last season. Although Jokic averaged a triple-double against the Suns, Jokic’s 21.1 average game score was his second lowest against any West foe. Phoenix won two of those three games, which is no surprise. When opponents hold Jokic below a game score of 25 this season, Denver has gone 2-3. Familiarity is a plus for the Suns: not only did starting center Jusuf Nurkic play alongside Jokic to start their careers with the Nuggets, so too did new backup Mason Plumlee. — Pelton
The Los Angeles Chargers beat the Denver Broncos on “Thursday Night Football” to open Week 16. On Saturday, the Kansas City Chiefs bested the Houston Texans 27-19. Then, the Baltimore Ravens rolled over the AFC North rival Pittsburgh Steelers 34-17 to clinch a playoff spot.
The action continued on Sunday. Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor rushed for 218 yards and three touchdowns, and rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. performed well in his debut, leading the Atlanta Falcons past the New York Giants.
Our NFL Nation reporters reacted to all the action, answering lingering questions coming out of each game and detailing everything else you need to know for every team. Let’s get to it.
Will Bryce Young be the Panthers’ starting quarterback going into next season? One hundred percent. Panthers coach Dave Canales was impressed by how Young handled himself following a four-turnover game last week and said before Sunday’s game that Young was his guy for the rest of this season. The top pick of the 2023 draft came through with an impressive performance in beating the Cardinals (two touchdown passes and one rushing score) and proved time and again over the past two months that he can deliver at a high level.
Describe the game in two words: Building block. The Panthers had nothing to play for but pride, while the Cardinals needed a win Sunday to remain in playoff contention. Even with its porous run defense (the Cardinals had 206 yards rushing), the Panthers showed they can play with anybody. Over the past month, they came close to upending the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Eagles.
Early prediction for next week: Carolina will continue to play spoiler as they did Sunday and will beat Tampa Bay, a team the Panthers came within a lost fumble in overtime of beating in Week 13. The Bucs are battling with Atlanta for the NFC South title, but the Panthers are showing they won’t be a pushover down the stretch. — David Newton
Next game: at Buccaneers (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Cardinals
What will the next two weeks look like for the Cardinals? Now that they’ve been eliminated from playoff contention, the Cardinals will head into the offseason after games at the Rams and at home versus the 49ers. Arizona has already been playing a number of younger players, but that number could increase as it tries to evaluate who it has for the future. Specifically, offensive linemen Christian Jones and Jon Gaines II could see more snaps in the last two games.
Eye-popping stat: Before he left the game with a knee injury, running back James Conner averaged 6.2 yards before contact per rush in the first half, according to ESPN Research. Entering Sunday, he was averaging 2.3 yards before contact per rush. He had 111 rushing yards in the first half, including 74 before contact.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Containing Bryce Young on the ground. The Panthers quarterback had 68 rushing yards Sunday, 57 of which came within a four-play span in a second-quarter drive. He ripped off a 34-yard run and then scored three plays later on a 23-yard run. — Josh Weinfuss
Next game: at Rams (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET)
Commanders
Does Sunday’s win lock up rookie of the year honors for quarterback Jayden Daniels? It should — by a large margin. It’s hard to imagine a rookie offensive player doing more than Daniels, who started off strong yet is doing more down the stretch. He now has 22 touchdown passes, including five to beat the Eagles and nine over the past three games. He also rushed for 82 of the Commanders’ 114 yards Sunday. Washington’s offense did not have a lot going for it with five turnovers, but Daniels bailed it out with big pass plays, including the 10-yard winning throw with six seconds left.
Describe the game in two words: Unlikely comeback. The Commanders had no business winning after turning the ball over five times, which led to 13 points for the Eagles. Yet, Daniels made all the difference. And the Commanders also contained running back Saquon Barkley to 27 yards on 16 carries in the second half.
Biggest hole in the game plan: The run game. Washington’s run game was all or nothing — and the all was its rookie quarterback. The Commanders’ line couldn’t move the Eagles’ front all afternoon. This has become a reoccurring issue, as their running backs rushed for only 34 yards against the Saints last week. — John Keim
Next game: vs. Falcons (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Eagles
What’s the significance of Jalen Hurts’ injury? Hurts exited the game in the first quarter because of a concussion. Time will tell if he clears protocol for next week. The No. 1 seed is a long shot after the Eagles lost and the Lions won Sunday. According to ESPN Analytics, the Eagles would have a 80% win probability versus the Cowboys and an 84% win probability in the regular-season finale against the Giants with Hurts playing. That drops to 66% against Dallas and 72% against New York with Kenny Pickett as the starter.
Eye-popping stat: Saquon Barkley rushed for 109 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the first quarter, highlighted by a 68-yard TD scamper down the left sideline late. He is the first player with 100-plus rushing yards and two-plus rushing touchdowns in an opening quarter since the Vikings’ Adrian Peterson in Week 14 of 2012. Peterson won MVP that season.
What we learned about the QB on Sunday: Pickett had a roller coaster of a day. He helped cap off a touchdown drive on the series Hurts was injured on a four-yard strike to A.J. Brown but then threw an interception that led to a Commanders score. Overall, it was a grind, with some misfires and streaks of low productivity mixed in with some positive plays. — Tim McManus
Next game: vs. Cowboys (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Jalen Hurts leaves game after hitting head on the ground
Jalen Hurts picks up yards scrambling but the play ends with his head hitting the turf, leading to Hurts leaving the game.
Lions
Can running back Jahmyr Gibbs continue to carry the load with David Montgomery out? Certainly. Gibbs and Montgomery could be feature backs for nearly any team in the NFL. But even without Montgomery — who is sidelined with a MCL injury — in Chicago, Gibbs finished with 154 scrimmage yards. He rushed for 109 yards and a touchdown, while catching four receptions for 45 yards. Entering the game, he was prepared for a larger workload and his production showed it wasn’t too much for him to handle.
What we learned about the QB on Sunday: Lions quarterback Jared Goff wasn’t fazed by the loss to Buffalo or Detroit’s banged-up roster. Instead, he bounced back in spectacular fashion, finishing 23-of-32 with 336 passing yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. He also set a career-high mark for passing touchdowns in a season (33) in the win.
Early prediction for next week: Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams will eclipse the 1,000-yard receiving mark for the first time in his NFL career. Williams, who had a career-best 143 receiving yards Sunday, is 110 yards away from the mark. In last year’s NFC title game against the 49ers, he delivered a rushing and receiving touchdown. — Eric Woodyard
Next game: at 49ers (Monday, Dec. 30, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Bears
How did Ben Johnson’s up-close audition land with the Bears? Sources confirmed to ESPN that Johnson, the Lions’ offensive coordinator, is expected to interview for the Bears’ head coaching vacancy. Detroit put up 400-plus yards of offense for a third time in four games and jumped out to an early 20-0 lead. Conversely, Johnson, who praised quarterback Caleb Williams for how the ball “whistles” when he throws it, got a good look at a strong performance from the rookie.
What we learned about the QB on Sunday: Williams is playing with confidence amid a lost season. He became the first rookie in franchise history to pass for 3,000 yards and threw the longest touchdown pass of his career, a 45-yarder to receiver Keenan Allen. Williams has completed at least 10 passes to receivers split out wide in three of his past four games after doing so only once in Weeks 1-12.
Most surprising performance: Allen crossed 100 receiving yards (141 total) for the first time this season after seeing double-digit targets (13) for the fifth time. The 32-year-old veteran scored the longest touchdown of his career and needs two more TD catches to set a single-season career high (nine). — Courtney Cronin
Next game: vs. Seahawks (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Colts
Should the Colts have leaned more on their running game? For starters, the Titans played some abysmal run defense in this game. But the Colts’ dominance on the ground was the closest thing they’ve shown to a true identity. Indianapolis stuck with the run even when the Titans knew it was coming. The Colts’ 335 rushing yards was their biggest output since the final week of the 2020 season. With running back Jonathan Taylor and a physical offensive line, this is the brand of football that best suits this team.
Describe the game in two words: Unnecessarily difficult. The Colts allowed the Titans to score 23 unanswered points in the second half after taking a 38-7 lead. It didn’t need to be that hard. A clutch third-down conversion with under two minutes remaining iced the game, as quarterback Anthony Richardson connected with wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. to move the chains.
Eye-popping stat: Taylor became the third player with 200-plus rushing yards and three touchdowns in a game over the past decade. His 218 rushing yards were the second-most of his career, behind 253 yards against the Jaguars in 2020. — Stephen Holder
Next game: at Giants (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Jonathan Taylor scores his 3rd TD of the game
Jonathan Taylor finds the end zone for the third time vs. the Titans, increasing the Colts’ lead.
Titans
Is the late comeback attempt proof the Titans haven’t quit on first-year coach Brian Callahan? The Titans scored on their second drive but got outscored 38-0 until Tyjae Spears’ touchdown run with 3:02 left in the third quarter. Rather than lay down, Callahan’s team fought back to within one score. The overall performance is unacceptable. But the way the Titans kept pushing forward shows they haven’t quit on Callahan. Next week’s matchup with the Jaguars is the best chance the Titans have to add to their three-win total.
What we learned about the QB on Sunday: Although he has played five more seasons than Will Levis, Mason Rudolph is susceptible to the same mistakes. He threw an interception late in the second quarter that led to the Colts’ third touchdown of the period. The offense was more on schedule, but it’s clear whoever is under center can’t overcome all the reasons the Titans haven’t been winning.
Eye-popping stat: Entering this week, the Titans’ run defense was 12th in the NFL, allowing 115.2 rushing yards per game. The Colts finished with 335 yards on the ground, which was the second-most allowed by a Titans/Oilers defense in franchise history. The Dallas Texans set the record with 398 rushing yards against the Houston Oilers on Oct. 1, 1965. — Turron Davenport
Next game: at Jaguars (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Falcons
How did Michael Penix Jr. do in his first career start? It was only the second time a Falcons quarterback has led his team to a double-digit win in his first NFL start (Matt Ryan, 2008). Ryan, of course, went on to be perhaps the greatest player in franchise history. It’s too soon for any superlatives about Penix. He finished 18-of-27 for 202 yards and an interception that should have been caught by tight end Kyle Pitts. The defense and running back Bijan Robinson were the stars Sunday, but the quarterback’s arm talent, poise and processing were encouraging. It was against the 2-13 Giants, yet Atlanta’s offense looked much better than it had the past five games with Kirk Cousins.
Eye-popping stat: The Falcons had pick-sixes by safety Jessie Bates III and edge rusher Matthew Judon. It was the first time the team has had two pick-sixes in one game since 1983. Bates now has four interceptions on the season, and Judon scored his first career touchdown.
Describe the game in two words: Confidence builder. Things could not have gone better for the Falcons, who were 1-4 in their past five games and had benched their starting quarterback much sooner than they expected. Their 34-7 lead in the fourth quarter was their biggest since 2020. The defense also dominated for a second straight game. — Marc Raimondi
Next game: at Commanders (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Giants
Are the Giants going to win another game this season? The Giants have lost their past two games by a combined 48 points against the Falcons and Ravens. They will be heavy underdogs at home against the Colts and on the road against the Eagles. There is nothing to suggest their season won’t end with 12 straight losses. It might not be the worst thing given the situation. They came into Sunday with a 37% chance for the first overall pick, according to ESPN Analytics. Losing out will only help those odds.
Describe the game in two words: Record futility. That makes it a franchise-record 10th straight loss for the Giants. Their last victory was on Oct. 6 in Seattle. They haven’t even been competitive in a good chunk of games. They have lost three of their past five games by more than 20 points, which is contrary to general manager Joe Schoen’s bye week claim they were close to winning games.
Eye-popping stat: After throwing two pick-sixes against the Falcons, quarterback Drew Lock has now thrown three pick-sixes in three starts. That is the second-most pick sixes this season despite his limited playing time in the Giants’ offense. Only Tennessee’s Will Levis (four) has tossed more. — Jordan Raanan
Next game: vs. Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Rams
What does this win mean for the Rams’ playoff chances? With their victory over the Jets, the Rams still control their playoff destiny, with home games against the Cardinals and Seahawks to end the regular season. The Rams have made the playoffs in five of their seven seasons under coach Sean McVay.
Describe the game in two words: December football. Just like they did in a rainy game vs. the 49ers in Week 15, the Rams leaned on their running game in 23-degree weather. Kyren Williams led the way with 122 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries. It was his 13th rushing score this season, the most by a Rams player since Todd Gurley scored 17 in 2018, per ESPN Research.
Most surprising performance: Sunday saw the season debut for tight end Tyler Higbee, who tore the ACL and MCL in his right knee in last season’s wild-card loss to the Lions. He had only one catch for 11 yards, but it was a touchdown reception that gave the Rams a lead they never gave up in the fourth quarter. It was his first touchdown in 392 days, according to ESPN Research. — Sarah Barshop
Next game: vs. Cardinals (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET)
Kyren Williams barrels into end zone for Rams
Kyren Williams runs in a short touchdown to get the Rams on the board vs. the Jets.
How does an offense with so much talent continue to underachieve? The Jets opened with a 99-yard touchdown drive. They didn’t punt once and still managed only nine points — yet another reminder that the Aaron Rodgers-led offense has been a major bust. Rodgers missed some open receivers and lost a fumble deep in Jets territory, every lineman committed at least one penalty, the red zone efficiency was terrible (1-for-3) and receiver Allen Lazard dropped two passes. The end result was their sixth loss despite holding a fourth-quarter lead (a league high).
Biggest hole in the game plan: Interim coach Jeff Ulbrich made two questionable decisions on fourth down. The most egregious was going for it on fourth-and-1 from his own 33 in the second quarter when up 6-0. They failed, giving the Rams a short field for an eventual game-tying touchdown (missed PAT). Later, Ulbrich passed up a short field goal on their first drive of the second half and they failed on fourth-and-4.
Describe the game in two words: Where’s Garrett? Garrett Wilson, already unhappy with the state of the offense, was targeted only three times over the first 55 minutes. Interestingly, he has been a nonfactor for the past six quarters, dating back to his sideline outburst last week in Jacksonville. Davante Adams continued to get the bulk of the targets. Wilson finished with six catches for 54 yards. — Rich Cimini
Next game: at Bills (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Bengals
Are the Bengals back in playoff contention? Somehow, yes. After being four games under .500 a few weeks ago, they have their playoff chances still flickering ahead of Week 17. The Bengals have won three straight games. And in their past two victories, they have looked convincingly good against bad teams, something that was an issue for most the season. This win sets up a big home showdown next Saturday.
Early prediction for next week: The Bengals will struggle with Denver’s pass rush if they can’t get healthy. Cincinnati right tackle Amarius Mims left the game with an ankle injury and Orlando Brown Jr. remains out with a fibula injury. The Broncos are fifth in pass rush win rate (45%) and third in sacks per dropback (8.2%). That could be a handful if Mims and Brown aren’t ready.
Most surprising performance: Cincinnati’s young defensive linemen had a big impact. The got sacks from rookie defensive tackles Kris Jenkins Jr. (2) and McKinnley Jackson (1). Cedric Johnson, who has been a healthy scratch often throughout the year, forced an intentional grounding late in the game too. It’s a great sign for a group that has relied on Trey Hendrickson all season. — Ben Baby
Next game: vs. Broncos (Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Browns
What else is there for the Browns to accomplish with two games left? The Browns’ 12th loss of the season was filled with more mistakes — three turnovers — and an offense, now led by quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, that couldn’t sustain drives. Cleveland wraps up the season with games against the Dolphins and Ravens before an offseason that will be filled with tough decisions. The team has been increasingly using its younger players, especially on the defensive line, and that could continue in the final two weeks.
What we learned about the QB on Sunday: Thompson-Robinson isn’t ready to be considered for the Browns’ 2025 starting position. He made his fourth career start but looked like he has for much of his young career: Talented but careless with the ball. He was intercepted twice, including once in the end zone, which brings his career total to nine with just one passing touchdown.
Early prediction for next week: The Browns will hold Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to a season-low in passing yards. Cleveland runs Cover 1 at the highest rate in the NFL, and Tagovailoa has struggled against the coverage. He averages 5.4 yards per attempt, which is the second-lowest mark among qualifying passers. — Daniel Oyefusi
Next game: vs. Dolphins (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Ravens
Are the Ravens now the favorites to win the AFC North? Not exactly. It’s true that Baltimore and Pittsburgh are both tied atop the division with 10-5 records. But the Ravens have a 45% chance to win the AFC North, according to ESPN Analytics. If Baltimore and Pittsburgh both win out, the Ravens lose the top spot because their record in common games is worse than the Steelers’. So, the Ravens likely need to win out — at Houston and home against Cleveland — and the Steelers need to lose at least one more time. Pittsburgh’s last two games are at home against the Chiefs and the Bengals. But this was a huge victory and confidence boost for the Ravens — who had lost eight of the previous nine games against the Steelers.
Describe the game in two words: Role reversal. Unlike the previous meetings with the Steelers, it was the Ravens who capitalized on Pittsburgh’s mistakes. Baltimore produced two takeaways — a forced fumble on Russell Wilson inside the Baltimore 5-yard line and a Marlon Humphrey 37-yard interception return for a touchdown. This was the first defensive score of the season for the Ravens. It was a much different story from the previous nine meetings, when Baltimore turned the ball over 19 times.
Most surprising performance: Running back Derrick Henry. He ran for 162 yards, recording his first career 100-yard game against the Steelers and redeeming himself from his 65-yard performance last month in Pittsburgh. It had been a tough stretch for Henry, who had been held under 70 yards rushing in three of his previous five games. Now, Henry is in an elite group with his fourth 1,500-yard rushing season, which trails only Barry Sanders (who had five). — Jamison Hensley
Next game: at Texans (Wednesday, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Marlon Humphrey snags pick-six, taunts Calvin Austin en route to the house
Marlon Humphrey comes up with a big play to snag Russell Wilson’s pass and take it to the end zone to pad the Ravens’ lead vs. the Steelers.
Steelers
Can the Steelers still win the AFC North? After dropping Saturday’s game to the Ravens, the Steelers have to win out to clinch their division and a home playoff game. With games against the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals to finish out the season, that’s not an easy task. While there’s no simple fix to the recent ails of a Steelers team that can’t get off the field on defense or move the ball on offense, the return of S DeShon Elliott and WR George Pickens would go a long way to finishing the season strong.
What we learned about the QB on Saturday: Wilson had two touchdown passes, but he also directly contributed to 14 of the Ravens’ points. Not only did he fumble the ball 4 yards short of the end zone in the first half, but in the fourth quarter, his pass thrown behind tight end MyCole Pruitt was picked off and returned for a touchdown by Humphrey. The pick-six gave the Ravens a 31-17 lead with 13 minutes to go and all but shut the door on a Steelers comeback. Wilson completed 22 of 33 attempts for 217 yards, but the turnovers were his most costly of the season.
Biggest hole in the game plan: What happened to Pat Freiermuth? The Steelers tight end came into Saturday’s game with a touchdown in three straight games, but he was a nonfactor against the Ravens. Freiermuth finished with three catches on three targets for 16 yards. — Brooke Pryor
Next game: vs. Chiefs (Wednesday, 1 p.m. ET)
Chiefs
Is Xavier Worthy the Chiefs’ most valuable receiver? Who else could it be at this point? The Chiefs went to Worthy 11 times as a receiver and three times as a ball carrier. He delivered 7 catches, 65 yards and 1 touchdown as a receiver and 10 rushing yards. The Chiefs had some timely contributions from other receivers, most notably Hollywood Brown and DeAndre Hopkins. But Worthy was their go-to receiver.
What we learned about the QB on Saturday: Patrick Mahomes can be effective with his high ankle sprain. He didn’t have his best game but was good enough for the Chiefs to win. He scored the Chiefs’ first touchdown on a 15-yard scramble and also had a 12-yard scramble on the drive.
Most surprising performance: Brown had a promising game for a player who hasn’t been in a game since suffering a sternoclavicular injury during the preseason. Brown didn’t play a lot but caught five passes for 45 yards. One catch came on fourth down, another on third down. Both plays delivered the Chiefs a fresh set of downs. — Adam Teicher
Next game: at Steelers (Wednesday, 1 p.m. ET)
Texans
How will the Texans overcome injuries? The Texans lost three starters in right guard Shaq Mason, wideout Tank Dell and safety Jimmie Ward. All appear to be long-term injuries, as Ward and Dell had to be carted off the field. Losing Dell is a bigger loss, as he’s another weapon gone for quarterback C.J. Stroud. Wideout Stefon Diggs already suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 8 and now Dell is most likely going to be out.
What we learned about the QB on Saturday: Stroud can and will have to be efficient with Dell out. The only difference-maker he has now is Nico Collins. So whenever teams take him away, Stroud will have to take underneath throws, which he did against the Chiefs, going 10-for-15 for 102 yards.
Biggest hole in the game plan: In four out of the past six games, running back Joe Mixon has under 60 rushing yards. His low production is a result of the shuffling on the offensive line. The Texans are 5-2 when Mixon rushes for over 100 yards but are 2-3 when he rushes for under 60. — DJ Bien-Aime
Next game: vs. Ravens (Wednesday, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Chargers
Are the Chargers’ defensive issues fixable? After being one of the NFL’s best defenses for much of the season, the Chargers’ defense has fallen off in recent weeks. That continued in the first half Thursday night, as the Broncos scored on their first three possessions, the first time a team has done that to L.A. this season. The Chargers’ biggest issue has been on third down. Through the first 11 weeks, they allowed 32.3% of third down conversions (second in NFL), but from Weeks 12-15, they allowed 47.5% (27th). They adjusted against Denver, allowing six points in the second half and holding the Broncos to 5-of-13 on third down, a sign that their issues could be behind them.
Describe the game in two words: Opportunistic Chargers. The Chargers took advantage of the Broncos’ penalties; Denver racked up seven penalties for 61 yards, while the Chargers had only two for eight yards. A fair catch interference penalty at the end of the first half, which led to kicker Cameron Dicker making the first fair catch free kick in 48 years, turned the game around for the Chargers. They outscored the Broncos 21-6 from that moment to win the game.
Early prediction for next week: The Chargers’ defense will get its first shutout. The Chargers seemed to find a spark defensively in that second half against Denver and will face a New England Patriots team next Saturday that is 31st in the NFL in points per game (17). This could be the perfect storm for a defense that has had near-shutouts twice this season and a jolt of momentum ahead of the playoffs. — Kris Rhim
Next game: at Patriots (Saturday, 1 p.m. ET)
Broncos
How big of a missed opportunity was Thursday’s loss? It’s more a blow to the Broncos’ psyche than their actual playoff chances, but the loss to the Chargers showed some immaturity in the big moment. The Broncos dropped from the No. 6 seed to the No. 7 (and final) seed with the loss, but they still have a 2.5-game lead on the Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts and Miami Dolphins for that postseason spot. The real concern is with how the Broncos lost — a flurry of untimely penalties and an offense that went tepid after scoring touchdowns on its first three possessions. Denver scored 21 points in the first 24 minutes of the game, then six in the remaining 36. The Broncos were ready to end their eight-year playoff drought, which makes the loss, according to coach Sean Payton, “disappointing because there was a lot at stake.”
Describe the game in two words: Didn’t listen. Payton has written it on his call sheet: “Run It!” And despite the Broncos’ early success on the ground — they ran the ball on seven of 10 plays to score a touchdown on their opening possession, then ran it just 14 times the remainder of the game. Payton continues to struggle to find a rhythm in how he calls the run game even as he continues to say how important it will be for the Broncos. But he’s not following through on his words.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Chargers rookie Ladd McConkey came into the game leading their offense in receptions and receiving yards by a substantial margin. But the Broncos chose not to match Pro Bowl cornerback Pat Surtain II on him and struggled to contain the damage. McConkey repeatedly moved the sticks, catching six passes for 87 yards. “We dropped coverage five different times … you can’t have one of their top receivers not covered,” Payton said. — Jeff Legwold
Week 13 of the NFL season began Thanksgiving Day, as the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys sent their fans home happy with victories before the Green Bay Packers joined them in the win column against the Miami Dolphins in the final game of the annual holiday showcases. The Lions took down the Chicago Bears thanks to some truly puzzling clock management by Chicago, while the Cowboys used their defense to outlast the struggling New York Giants.
On Black Friday, the Las Vegas Raiders nearly pulled off a stunning upset against the Kansas City Chiefs before a heartbreaking fumble.
On Sunday, quarterback Anthony Richardson lifted the Indianapolis Colts past the New England Patriots, and the Pittsburgh Steelers handled the Cincinnati Bengals. Later, the Philadelphia Eagles earned a big road win against the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers survived in overtime. Sunday night, the Buffalo Bills put on a show in the snow, defeating the San Francisco 49ers 35-10. The Denver Broncos capped things off on Monday night with a frenetic 41-32 victory over the Cleveland Browns.
Our NFL Nation reporters reacted to all the action, answering lingering questions coming out of each game and detailing everything else you need to know for every team. Let’s get to it.
How much concern should the Broncos have after their defensive meltdown? In the end, Jameis Winston and Jerry Jeudy had ridiculous numbers — 497 passing yards and 235 receiving yards, respectively — and the Browns rolled up 552 yards overall. That will cause plenty of hand-wringing as the Broncos move into their bye week. Denver coach Sean Payton promised that he would have a critical eye on the defense, though he added that “in the end we did what we had to do”, as the defense also intercepted Winston three times, including two which they returned for touchdowns.
With cornerback Riley Moss expected to miss additional time with a knee injury, the Broncos might have to consider playing rookie Kris Abrams-Draine instead of Levi Wallace at Moss’ spot. They made that move late against the Browns, as Winston targeted Wallace successfully when he was matched up against Jeudy.
Describe the game in two words: Great escape. The Broncos had a spirited home crowd and a national audience to play in front of against a team out of playoff contention, but it almost resulted in the messiest of losses. The Broncos had a clunky first half on offense — they had two three-and-out drives in the first half — and the defense was gashed repeatedly. But they pulled out the win and are two games up on the field for the AFC’s final wild-card spot.
What we learned about the QB today: Rookie Bo Nix finished with his third two-interception game of the season — he threw two in each of the consecutive losses to open the season — but the Broncos got their first win in a game in which Nix threw a pick. He eventually finished with 294 passing yards, his second-highest total of the season, and a 93-yard touchdown to Marvin Mims Jr. — the Broncos’ first pass play of more than 50 yards this season. Nix showed more resilience than he did early in the season and rebounded more quickly from the turnovers than he had in previous games. “We’re a confident bunch,” Nix said. — Jeff Legwold
Next game: vs. Colts (Sunday, Dec. 15, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Browns
How will the Browns salvage another losing season? Cleveland’s heartbreaking loss to the Broncos gives the franchise its 22nd losing season out of 26 since returning to the city in 1999. And the defeat all but dashes the slim playoff chances the Browns had entering Week 13. Now, will Cleveland begin to evaluate more of its young players? “We got to go out there and start spoiling people’s dreams and start making people feel how we’re feeling right now,” defensive end Myles Garrett said.
Eye-popping stat: In his first game against his former team after being traded in the offseason, wide receiver Jerry Jeudy had a career-high 235 receiving yards, with 198 coming on open or wide-open targets. That represents the most such yardage in a single game since Next Gen Stats developed the metric in 2016.
Most surprising performance: Garrett, who entered Week 13 with 10 sacks, had one pressure on 26 pass rush snaps. The quiet night came without the Broncos diverting a ton of extra attention to the reigning Defensive Player of the Year. He was double teamed on three pass rush snaps, per Next Gen Stats. — Daniel Oyefusi
Next game: at Steelers (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Bills
What’s next for the Buffalo Bills after clinching the AFC East? Working to earn the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The Bills scored 30-plus points for a sixth straight game, the longest streak this season and tied for longest in franchise history, while limiting the 49ers to 10 points. The Bills have shown they can be dominant, and the sky is the limit as the postseason awaits.
Describe the game in two words: Snow ball. The Bills started the game with a three-and-out and then gave up a field goal. But after that, they controlled the game in all three phases — forcing three fumbles, not allowing a drive longer than six plays in the second half and getting an MVP-like performance from Josh Allen.
Eye-popping stat: Helped by a wild scoring play on a lateral from Amari Cooper, Allen — who on Sunday passed Jim Kelly for the most touchdowns in Bills history — is the fifth player and the only quarterback since 1970 to score a passing, rushing and receiving touchdown in the same game. He joins Christian McCaffrey, LaDainian Tomlinson, David Patten and Walter Payton. Allen is also the first player in NFL history with multiple games with two passing touchdowns and a receiving touchdown. — Alaina Getzenberg
Next game: at Rams (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
49ers
Is it time to put the 49ers’ playoff hopes to rest? Yes. Although the 5-7 Niners are mathematically in it, there’s no reason to believe this tired, battered team has any sort of final surge in it. Realistically, the 49ers would probably need to win all of their remaining five games to get in, with a lesser chance that nine victories could steal the middling NFC West division title. But San Francisco is now two games behind Seattle while trailing the other two teams in the division by a game. Even if some of the Niners’ injured stars return, it’s difficult to imagine a scenario in which the team can go 4-1 or 5-0 against the Bears, Rams, Dolphins, Lions and Cardinals. For the first time since 2020, the Niners look as if they’ll miss the postseason.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Run defense has been an issue all season for the Niners, but it has been particularly bad the past two weeks. After a promising couple of drives Sunday night, the 49ers allowed the Bills to gash them for 220 rushing yards (5.8 yards per carry) on 38 attempts. It’s the second week in a row they’ve allowed more than 150 yards on the ground, the first time that has happened since 2021.
Describe the game in two words: Massive mismatch. Even if they were healthy, this was, perhaps, the toughest game on the 49ers’ schedule. But they are nowhere near full strength, and when you add the Bills coming off a bye week, the Niners on their second consecutive long trip and the winter weather, this had the makings of a Buffalo blowout, and it delivered. — Nick Wagoner
Next game: vs. Bears (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Buccaneers
Did the Bucs just save their season? For most of the game, the Panthers limited quarterback Baker Mayfield’s escape lanes and the Bucs’ receiving corps struggled outside of Mike Evans. It wasn’t until the fourth quarter that things — and Bucky Irving — started to click. It was far from pretty, but they’ll take this one and the 6-6 record. The Bucs were gifted a 17-13 Falcons loss to the Chargers, which dropped Atlanta to 6-6 as well. The Falcons still hold the head-to-head advantage.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Defensively, the Bucs couldn’t pressure or contain quarterback Bryce Young. Young went 6-of-11 for 83 yards, which is his second-most passing yards on play-action this season, according to ESPN Research. But the defense’s inability to close didn’t doom Tampa Bay, as Anthony Nelson forced a Chuba Hubbard fumble that Yaya Diaby recovered in overtime.
Most surprising performance: Irving’s 152 rushing yards is the most by a rookie in a game this season. His 97 rush yards in the fourth quarter alone was the fourth most by any running back this season. He has 1,017 scrimmage yards through 12 games, the second most for a rookie in Buccaneers history. — Jenna Laine
Next game: vs. Raiders (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Panthers
Was this a breakout game for Bryce Young? Heck yeah. Since the run game wasn’t working, he had to carry the offense. He had his second career rushing touchdown and a go-ahead touchdown pass with 30 seconds left in regulation. His 298 passing yards was the second most in his career. Had Carolina (3-9) found a way to win in overtime, with a favorable schedule and Young playing well, it had a chance to be a factor in the weak NFC South.
Eye-popping stat: Young came into Sunday averaging 177.9 yards passing per game in 23 career starts. Just today, he had 186 yards in the first half, the most of any half in his career.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Finishing in the red zone. The Panthers were 1-for-4 in scoring touchdowns inside the 20-yard line a week after going 2-for-6. One of coach Dave Canales’ signature comments is “finishing,” and the inability to do that Sunday made this game closer than it needed to be. — David Newton
Next game: at Eagles (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Eagles
Can the Eagles run the table? The Ravens game was their most difficult test on paper, and they aced it for their eighth consecutive win. They have a couple of formidable opponents remaining on the regular-season schedule in the Steelers and Commanders, but there is a chance they’ll be favored in every game the rest of the way — especially considering four of their next five contests are at home.
Most surprising performance: Edge rusher Nolan Smith Jr. The second-year player stepped up in the team’s first game without Brandon Graham (triceps), posting a sack, eight tackles and a tackle for loss. The Eagles applied steady pressure on quarterback Lamar Jackson and limited the top-ranked Ravens offense to 19 points.
Biggest hole in the game plan: The Eagles opened the game by mixing in targets to depth receivers and backs before homing in on running back Saquon Barkley and wide receiver A.J. Brown. That played a part in why they got off to yet another slow start offensively. Philadelphia was blanked by the Ravens in the first quarter and has the fewest points leaguewide in the opening frame this season (17). — Tim McManus
Next game: vs. Panthers (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Saquon Barkley scores huge 25-yard TD for the Eagles
Saquon Barkley maneuvers his way for a 25-yard touchdown to extend the Eagles’ lead in the fourth quarter.
Ravens
How will kicker Justin Tucker’s struggles impact a championship run for the Ravens? Tucker has gone from the most accurate kicker in NFL history to one of the team’s biggest question marks. He continued his seasonlong struggles by missing two field goals (from 47 and 53 yards) and an extra point. His two failed field goals came in the third quarter, when Baltimore trailed 14-12. This was the first time he has missed three kicks in a game, and he put a major dent in the Ravens’ opportunity to win the AFC North.
What we learned about the QB today: Lamar Jackson is not infallible against the NFC. Jackson, who entered Sunday with the best interconference record by a quarterback since the 1970 merger (23-1), lost for the second time in 25 games against the NFC. He finished with a solid stat line — 237 passing yards and 79 rushing yards — but he was held to his second-fewest points vs. an NFC team.
Eye-popping stat: On the Ravens’ first touchdown of the game, Jackson had 5.51 seconds from snap to his 14-yard pass to tight end Mark Andrews in the end zone, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. This was Jackson’s fifth touchdown pass this season with at least five seconds to throw, which is the most in the league. — Jamison Hensley
Next game: at Giants (Dec. 15, 1 p.m. ET)
Rams
Will slow starts prevent the Rams from winning the NFC West? Los Angeles has struggled with slow starts this season — it has scored just two touchdowns in first quarters — but Sunday was its worst of the season. The Rams were shut out in the first half for the first time in the regular season under coach Sean McVay, according to ESPN Research. The only other time that happened was their Super Bowl LIII loss to the Patriots. The Rams overcame the scoreless first half with 21 points after halftime, but that won’t be good enough against better teams, including the Bills next week.
Most surprising performance: The Rams went 3-for-3 in the red zone, tied for their best in a game with Matthew Stafford at quarterback. This has been an area of weakness this season, as they entered the game tied for 25th in red zone percentage (50%). It’s the second time they’ve done that this season.
Eye-popping stat: Rams rookie wide receiver Jordan Whittington had 100 kickoff return yards. According to ESPN Research, that’s the most in a game by a Rams player since Pharoh Cooper had 110 in Week 12 of 2017. The sixth-round pick entered the game with 69 kickoff return yards on three attempts. — Sarah Barshop
Next game: vs. Bills (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Saints
Is the Darren Rizzi magic over? Rizzi seemed to have the Saints back on track, going 2-0 after taking over for fired coach Dennis Allen. But the New Orleans offense struggled for three quarters out of its bye week, and the Saints allowed Los Angeles to pull away. The question now is whether Rizzi can regroup enough to make a stretch run to end the season on a high note.
Most surprising performance: Defensive tackle Bryan Bresee. He led the team with three pressures and had a key sack, putting him at a career-best 6.5 in his second season. The 2023 first-round pick has 11 career sacks.
Describe the game in two words: Slow start. While the defense pitched a first-half shoutout, the offense didn’t take advantage and put up only six points. That proved costly in the end when the Saints failed to tie the score with close to two minutes left. — Katherine Terrell
Next game: at Giants (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Texans
Can the Texans’ offense build on its second-half performance? After mustering two field goals in the first half, the offense scored two touchdowns in the second half, the most it has netted since Week 6 against the Patriots. Coming into the game, Houston was averaging nine points in second halves and the Jacksonville defense was allowing 28 points per game. The Texans’ offense won the battle, and it could be a building block heading into the team’s bye week.
Eye-popping stat: Quarterback C.J. Stroud was pressured on only 21.1% of his dropbacks and held the ball for roughly three seconds on average. That was a season low for Stroud, who was under pressure on 41% of his dropbacks coming into Week 13.
Most surprising performance: Tight end Dalton Schultz. He had five catches for 61 yards and a touchdown, his second-highest receiving yards this season and his first touchdown on the year. Without Stefon Diggs, Stroud needs Schultz as another reliable option in the passing game. — DJ Bien-Aime
Next game: vs. Dolphins (Dec. 15, 1 p.m. ET)
Joe Mixon ices the game with 1st down for Texans
Joe Mixon gets the first down to seal the Texans’ win vs. the Jaguars.
Jaguars
Have we seen the last of Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence this season? Lawrence was already dealing with a sprained left AC joint and had missed the team’s previous two games, so the concussion he suffered on the late hit by Texans linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair complicates things further. It’s also uncertain at this point whether the hit aggravated the earlier injury. At 2-10, the Jaguars’ season is over, and the team has to decide whether it’s worth the risk to run the battered franchise quarterback out there again.
Biggest hole in the game plan: There were two bad coverage busts that resulted in wide-open Texans receivers. The first didn’t hurt because Jags cornerback Ronald Darby made up ground on Texans wide receiver Tank Dell to force an incompletion. The second did, though: Tight end Dalton Schultz had nobody within 15 yards of him and walked in for a 22-yard touchdown.
Most surprising performance: The Jaguars needed wide receiver Parker Washington to step up with Christian Kirk (collarbone) out for the year, and the second-year slot receiver finally did. He tied his career high with six catches and had the first 100-yard game of his career (103). He also had a touchdown and a 2-point conversion. Before Sunday, Washington had just nine catches in the three games since Kirk’s Week 8 injury. — Mike DiRocco
Next game: at Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Commanders
What helped the offense bounce back? The Commanders had struggled in the previous two weeks — in losses to Philadelphia and Dallas. A big issue was the run game. In three straight losses, Washington’s running backs averaged 3.3 yards per carry with only three runs for more than 10 yards. On Sunday, the Commanders’ backs rushed for 229 yards with Brian Robinson Jr. recording 16 carries for 103 yards and a touchdown. Washington’s backs had six carries for 10 or more yards. It added up to tying a season high in points.
Describe the game in two words: Desperately needed. After three consecutive losses, Washington was 2½ games behind the Eagles in the NFC East race — and its lead in the wild-card race was down to half a game. The Commanders, on a bye next week, have winnable games against New Orleans, Atlanta and Dallas coming up.
What we learned about the QB today: Washington’s offense is better when Jayden Daniels can use his legs. He finished with 34 yards rushing; Washington is 8-2 when Daniels rushes for 33 or more yards. It also helped that he involved receiver Terry McLaurin early in the game — they connected for two touchdown passes in the first quarter. — John Keim
Next game: at Saints (Dec. 15, 1 p.m. ET)
Titans
What happened to the Titans’ run defense? Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons boldly proclaimed “Nobody runs on the Titans” in September. That statement couldn’t have been further from the truth Sunday when the Commanders gained 267 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. Tennessee’s run defense was averaging 106 rushing yards allowed per game entering this week, but its defensive front continually allowed holes to open for Washington’s running backs. Poor pursuit angles didn’t help on the back end, either. Jacksonville is among the bottom 10 rushing teams in the league, so next week is a good opportunity to bounce back.
Describe the game in two words: Slow start. The Titans’ longest play in the first quarter was 6 yards. The Commanders had 10 plays go for more yards than that. Washington scored touchdowns on its first four drives of the game. Tennessee allowed 21 points in the first quarter, which is the most it had allowed in the first quarter of a game since 2012 against the Bears (28).
Eye-popping stat: The Titans were penalized 11 times in the first half and fell into a 28-0 hole before finally getting on the board in the second quarter. That’s the most since 2011, when the 49ers had 11 accepted penalties in the first half against the Lions. The Titans were penalized a total of 12 times for 93 yards. — Turron Davenport
Next game: vs. Jaguars (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Seahawks
What changes could be coming to Seattle’s special teams? The Seahawks won despite a nightmarish first half from their special teams, which lost two fumbles on kickoffs, allowed a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown and had a PAT blocked. The Jets scored a touchdown after cornerback Dee Williams coughed the ball up, yet another miscue on top of his two muffed punts earlier this season. It’s a mystery as to why special teams coach Jay Harbaugh hasn’t benched Williams given that the undrafted rookie isn’t providing nearly enough in the return game to make up for his gaffes. The good from Seattle’s special teams was two long field goals by Jason Myers and a blocked PAT.
Early prediction for next week: Defensive tackle Byron Murphy II will be used as a fullback. They’ve got to do something different in short-yardage situations, a season-long issue that hurt them again versus the Jets. They came away empty-handed despite running five plays from the 1-yard-line in the third quarter. Murphy, the rookie first-round pick, played some fullback in college.
Eye-popping stat: Leonard Williams’ 92-yard pick-six was the longest by a defensive lineman in NFL history, per ESPN Research. That topped Grant Wistrom’s 91-yard score in 1999, when the former Seahawk was still with the Rams. Williams also had two sacks, three tackles for loss and blocked a PAT. — Brady Henderson
Next game: at Cardinals (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Leonard Williams intercepts Aaron Rodgers, goes for 92-yard pick-six
Leonard Williams intercepts Aaron Rodgers’ pass and takes it the distance for a 92-yard pick-six for the Seahawks.
Jets
How did quarterback Aaron Rodgers fare in his first ‘healthy’ game since September? Not well. Rodgers, not listed on the injury report for the first time since Week 4, didn’t silence those who believe he’s washed up. He was dreadful for much of the game, failing for the fifth time to pull out a potential win on the final possession. His worst sequence came in the second quarter when he missed a wide-open Garrett Wilson in the end zone and threw a pick-six on the next play. Rodgers has gone three straight games with under 200 passing yards and 34 straight under 300 yards. He turns 41 on Monday, and he’s playing like it.
Biggest hole in the game plan: A total lack of discipline. The Jets gave away the game in the fourth quarter, committing eight of their 12 penalties — their most in a fourth quarter since 2013. It was a total meltdown, continuing a season-long trend. Players such as Rodgers, Wilson, Davante Adams and Quinnen Williams — some of their best players — were among the guilty parties.
Most surprising performance: Running back Kene Nwangwu went from the practice squad to the end zone in a 24-hour span. Elevated on Saturday, the former Minnesota Vikings draft pick scored on a 99-yard kickoff return, which was the Jets’ first since 2021. He also became the first player since 2019 with a kick-return touchdown and a forced fumble in the same game. — Rich Cimini
Next game: at Dolphins (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Steelers
Did the Steelers fix their offensive woes? After weeks of a boom-or-bust offense quarterbacked by Russell Wilson, offensive coordinator Arthur Smith opted for a safer, more efficient scheme predicated on establishing the run and a quick passing game. And it worked. With well-executed screens and early Najee Harris touches — plus a handful of Wilson’s moon balls — the Steelers found an offensive balance that had long escaped them. But will it stick? Next week’s rematch with the Browns — who held the Steelers to 19 points in Week 12 — will be a crucial measuring stick.
What we learned about the QB today: Wilson can adjust to the game plan. He wants to air it out, but he averaged 3.2 air yards per attempt in the first half. Of his 257 first-half passing yards, 191 were picked up by receivers after the catch. Part of Wilson’s undoing in Denver was deviating from the game plan, but he showed Sunday that he can stay on schedule.
Describe the game in two words: All gas. Not only did the offense move the ball at will, but the Steelers defense forced three turnovers, including a fourth-quarter scoop-and-score by rookie Payton Wilson. — Brooke Pryor
Next game: vs. Browns (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Bengals
Is it time to shift to developmental mode? Fire up those mock drafts! At 4-8, the Bengals’ playoff hopes are at 4.9%, according to ESPN’s FPI. And after quarterback Joe Burrow said he didn’t want to consider the outlook for 2025 and beyond until later in the season, that might be the best use of the team’s time for the remaining five games of the regular season. Sunday’s loss punctuates a disappointing year for a team that started the season with Super Bowl aspirations.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Zone defense. The Bengals had no answer for Russell Wilson, which is not something that has been said often this season. At one point, Wilson was 22-of-25 passing for 312 yards and three touchdowns against zone coverage. There will be a lot of soul searching for Cincinnati’s defense the rest of the way.
What we learned about the QB today: As things currently stand, the Bengals aren’t constructed well enough around Burrow, who has had the best season of his career. The offense just couldn’t keep pace with a defense that was torched too often, which has been the case throughout the year. Cincinnati has to take a hard look at its roster, at minimum, if it wants to maximize Burrow’s championship window. — Ben Baby
Next game: at Cowboys (Monday, Dec. 9, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Vikings
What happened to the Vikings’ offense? Minnesota didn’t have 100 yards of offense until late in the third quarter and finished with 272, its second-lowest total of the season. But quarterback Sam Darnold caught fire in the fourth quarter, and he threw the first go-ahead touchdown pass in the final two minutes of a game in his career. All told, the Vikings scored 17 points in the final 16:17 of the game.
Describe the game in two words: Stepped up. That’s what the Vikings’ defense did after appearing to be worn down by the methodical Cardinals offense. Despite being on the field for a whopping 76 plays Sunday, the Vikes held Arizona without a net yard or a first down on its final possession.
Most surprising performance: Running back Aaron Jones fumbled twice, losing one, and also dropped a sure touchdown pass in the fourth quarter before catching the go-ahead score with 1:13 remaining. Usually reliable, Jones has now tied his career record for most fumbles (five) and most fumbles lost (three) in a full season. — Kevin Seifert
Next game: vs. Falcons (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Aaron Jones’ TD proves to be winner as INT clinches win
After Aaron Jones’ touchdown puts the Vikings up late, Shaq Griffin gets the interception to clinch the win.
Cardinals
What cost the Cardinals after giving up a 13-point lead? Sunday would’ve been a proverbial walk in the park for the Cardinals had they been able to score a touchdown on any of their three trips to the red zone in the first half. Arizona kicked field goals from the 13-yard line twice and from the 6 once. Its three-point halftime lead could have been seven or more had it converted one or two of those trips into touchdowns.
Early prediction for next week: Wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. will parlay his 60-yard, one-touchdown afternoon this Sunday into his third 100-yard game of the season. He is due for another one and showed again versus the Vikings that he can make the big plays, securing his seventh touchdown catch of his career.
Most surprising performance: Tight end Trey McBride. He caught all 12 of his targets for 96 yards, tying for his third-best yardage output of the season. He continued to prove he is an elite playmaker for Arizona, with seven of his catches going for first downs. — Josh Weinfuss
Next game: vs. Seahawks (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Colts
What does coach Shane Steichen’s 2-point decision say about the season? Steichen’s decision to go for two points following what could have been a game-tying extra point suggests he knows the Colts have no margin for error as they chase a postseason berth. Indianapolis entered the game with a 25% shot at making the playoffs, per ESPN Analytics, and risking a loss in overtime — with a defense that struggled all day — could have been risky. Steichen is an aggressive coach, but this might have been the most aggressive call he has made in two seasons. The Colts’ playoff hopes improved to 31% with the win.
Biggest hole in the game plan: The Colts needed to be more aggressive on defense. Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye showed the discipline required to take the quick, short passes against the Colts’ zone coverage. New England did not punt until 5:43 remained in the game, and the Colts also made infrequent use of blitzes, which creates other questions.
What we learned about the QB today: Anthony Richardson has shown in two of his past three games that he can show up big in the fourth quarter. He has now led game-winning drives against the Jets and Patriots. And in both of those games, his powerful running was a factor — a game-winning TD run against New York and a 2-point conversion run against New England. — Stephen Holder
Next game: at Broncos (Dec. 15, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Patriots
Did the Patriots squander their best chance to win a game the rest of the season? This is a heartbreaking result for the Patriots, who had a chance to match last season’s win total (four) and instead couldn’t stop the Colts on a 19-play drive that resulted in a game-winning touchdown and 2-point conversion with 12 seconds remaining. Now they go into their bye before road games against the Cardinals and Bills. Then, they have home games against the Chargers and Bills. So yes, this was absolutely their most winnable game the rest of the way.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Red zone offense. The Patriots scored just two touchdowns in six trips inside the 20-yard line, which included an interception when a tight-window goal-line throw bounced off of veteran tight end Hunter Henry. Joey Slye also missed a 25-yard field goal.
Eye-popping stat: Drake Maye’s 41-yard run in the first quarter is the second longest by a Patriots quarterback over the past 25 seasons, trailing only Cam Newton’s 49-yard run against the Jets in Week 17 of 2021. He reached a speed of 19.4 mph, per NFL Next Gen Stats, which is his second-fastest scramble this season. — Mike Reiss
Next game: at Cardinals (Dec. 15, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Chargers
Should the Chargers be concerned about their offensive line? Entering Sunday, Atlanta’s 10 sacks were seven fewer than the next-closest team’s (the Panthers). But against the Chargers, the Falcons dominated the Chargers’ offensive line, sacking quarterback Justin Herbert five times. That’s the second-most sacks he’s taken in a game this season. Herbert has been sacked nine times over the past two games, which is a point of concern for Los Angeles as it tries to make a push for the AFC playoffs.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Rushing offense. With running back J.K. Dobbins (MCL sprain) on injured reserve, the Chargers’ rushing offense stalled and was ineffective Sunday. Running backs Gus Edwards and Kimani Vidal combined for just 52 yards, and Hassan Haskins fumbled on his only carry of the game.
Most surprising performance: Cornerback Tarheeb Still. The fifth-round rookie finished with two interceptions, including one he returned for a 61-yard touchdown. Still became the first Chargers rookie with multiple interceptions in a game since cornerback John Hendy, who did it in 1985. He has three interceptions in total. — Kris Rhim
Next game: at Chiefs (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Falcons
Can quarterback Kirk Cousins rebound from three straight poor performances to lead the Falcons to the playoffs? Atlanta went into its bye worried about a defense that gave up 38 points to the Broncos in Week 11. Now, the big concern is at quarterback. Cousins had four interceptions Sunday — his most in 10 years — and has not thrown a touchdown pass since Week 9. The NFC South title that once seemed like a lock could slip away. Cousins and the Falcons’ coaching staff need to figure out what’s going wrong before it’s too late.
Most surprising performance: The Falcons’ pass rush, the worst in the NFL, came to play Sunday. Atlanta had five sacks, its most since Week 16 of 2023. It came into the game with a league-worst 10 sacks and had a combined five in the past six games. Linebacker Arnold Ebiketie had a breakout game with a pair of sacks.
Biggest hole in the game plan: It was a main point during the bye week that the Falcons become more efficient in the red zone. That did not come to fruition. Atlanta was 1-of-4 inside the 20, including a missed field goal by Younghoe Koo and a costly fourth-quarter interception by Cousins. Koo is now 50% on field goals since Week 7. — Marc Raimondi
Next game: at Vikings (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Kirk Cousins’ fourth INT doom Falcons to third straight loss
Derwin James Jr. picks Kirk Cousins on a pass over the middle, the QB’s fourth interception of the game to seal a Falcons loss.
Chiefs
Should the Chiefs be concerned about their inability to finish off the Raiders and (last week) the Panthers? In a word, yes. It’s one thing to have to go deep into the fourth quarter to outlast two of the NFL’s worst teams. But the Chiefs had sizable leads on both. They led the Raiders by 13 points late in the third quarter, this after holding a 14-point edge against the Panthers in the first half. This doesn’t bode well for the playoffs, when the competition gets much tougher.
Early prediction for next week: Newly signed D.J. Humphries will start at left tackle next week against the Chargers. Wanya Morris, who started against the Raiders, played so poorly that he was benched. Rookie Kingsley Suamataia, who began the season as the starting left tackle, isn’t an option. He, too, was benched earlier in the season.
Eye-popping stat: Patrick Mahomes’ second-quarter touchdown pass to Justin Watson had a completion probability of 26.6%, according to Next Gen Stats. That’s his lowest completion probability on a touchdown pass since 2021, a fourth-quarter TD to Darrel Williams in Week 10 against the Raiders (22%). — Adam Teicher
Next game: vs. Chargers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Raiders
Are the Raiders the worst team in football? Not after the scare they threw into the two-time defending Super Bowl champs. Raiders coach Antonio Pierce got tongues wagging when he acknowledged the narrative that the Black Friday game was “the best team in football against the worst team in football.” And yes, the Raiders, having lost their eighth straight game, are tied with the Giants for the worst record in the NFL at 2-10. And if you are what your record says you are, well, that should settle the debate, right? Yet, few staffs could win with the Raiders’ injury-plagued roster and QB struggles. Las Vegas, heading to Tampa Bay, is playing for more than pride with elite talents in defensive end Maxx Crosby, tight end Brock Bowers and punter AJ Cole.
Describe the game in two words: Not enough. The Chiefs were simply too deep and too good for the weary and injured Raiders, who were game but just did not have enough to pull off a second consecutive holiday week upset in Kansas City.
What we learned about the QB today: Aidan O’Connell is who we thought he was. Making his first appearance since breaking the thumb on his right (passing) hand Oct. 20, O’Connell was comfortable in the pocket and throwing deep but also displayed his trademark lack of mobility. He passed for 340 yards, completing 23 of 35 passes, but took 3 sacks, including one that knocked the Raiders out of field goal range. He outplayed Mahomes, though, on this day. — Paul Gutierrez
Next game: at Buccaneers (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Packers
Exactly how good are the Packers? We’re about to find out when they go to Detroit to face the NFC North-leading Lions on Thursday night, but the last time the two teams met it was a major mismatch, with the Lions jumping out to a 24-3 lead and never really looking back. Even if the Packers can’t catch Detroit or the Vikings — they still have to go to Minnesota in Week 17 — they look like a dangerous team. This much we know: The NFC North now has three teams with at least nine wins: Detroit (11-1), Minnesota (9-2) and Green Bay (9-3). It’s the first division to have three nine-win teams through Week 13 since the AFC East in 1985.
Describe the game in two words: Jacobs again. A week after Josh Jacobs dominated the 49ers on the ground, the running back showed he can do it as a receiver out of the backfield, too. While he was held to 43 yards rushing on 19 carries (with a 1-yard touchdown), he caught four passes for 74 yards — including a 49-yard catch-and-run on a dump-off pass that wound up as the longest reception of his career. The Packers might keep riding Jacobs as far as he can take them.
What we learned about the QB today: Maybe Jordan Love has fixed his interception issues. It was his second straight game without a pick after throwing at least one in his first eight games of the season, and unlike the previous game against the 49ers when he was nearly picked off several times, this time Love did not put the ball in harm’s way. He finished 21-of-28 for 274 yards and two touchdowns. — Rob Demovsky
Next game: at Lions (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Dolphins
What does this loss do to the Dolphins’ playoff chances? It certainly doesn’t help, but they’re not mathematically out of the running just yet. The goal after a 2-6 start should have been to return to a .500 record as quickly as possible; Miami could still do so with wins against the New York Jets and Houston Texans over the next two weeks. The Dolphins will likely have to win their final three games of the season against the San Francisco 49ers, Cleveland Browns and Jets — none of whom is playing well. Playoffs are still possible, but this season is on life support.
Describe the game in two words: Wake up. The Dolphins sleepwalked through the first half and were thoroughly beaten down by a Packers team that came ready to play. Miami outscored Green Bay 14-6 in the second half, but it was far too little, far too late.
Eye-popping stat: According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the Dolphins missed 20 tackles, directly leading to 132 additional yards for Green Bay — which finished with 388 yards of offense. Miami appeared unwilling to tackle a physical Packers team for most of the game, and it showed on the stat sheet. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Next game: vs. Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Cowboys
Has the Cowboys’ defense taken a turn for the better? After a slow start in Mike Zimmer’s first year as defensive coordinator, the unit has put together some of its best work recently. The Giants are not exactly the best of measuring sticks, starting their third quarterback of the year, Drew Lock, on Thursday, but there are positive signs. The Cowboys had two more takeaways, including a pick-six by DeMarvion Overshown. After New York gained 70 yards on its first drive, it got just 33 yards on its next 21 plays in the first half. The true test for the defense, however, comes Dec. 9 against the Cincinnati Bengals with Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
What we learned about the QB today: Four days after an efficient performance against Washington, Cooper Rush was more erratic, especially in the second quarter, when he completed just 5 of 14 passes for 52 yards. He rebounded with a third-quarter touchdown pass, but a lost fumble was overturned because of replay and he had a botched handoff with Rico Dowdle that he was able to recover. But Rush did not give the ball away for a second straight game, which is what matters most to Mike McCarthy.
Most surprising performance: It has been trending in this direction recently, but the Cowboys had their first running back go for more than 100 yards since Week 3 last year as Rico Dowdle picked up 112 yards, a career high, on 22 carries. He also scored his first rushing touchdown of the season and had a season-long 22-yard run in the first half. The last time a Cowboys running back went for more than 100 yards was Tony Pollard against Arizona in 2023. The 26-game span was the longest 100-yard game drought in franchise history. — Todd Archer
Next game: vs. Bengals (Monday, Dec. 9, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Giants
How hot is the seat getting for Brian Daboll after seven straight losses and a second straight blowout? Scorching. It doesn’t matter if owner John Mara gave him vote of confidence last month. The Giants haven’t won since. And they aren’t just losing (seven straight now), they’re getting embarrassed, this time on national TV. Daboll is running out of excuses. It’s no longer Daniel Jones’ fault. The results were similar — or worse — with Tommy DeVito, and then with Drew Lock in this one. Daboll and the Giants are 8-21 since the start of last season.
What we learned about the QB today: It’s not Lock’s fault. He made some mistakes, but he also never really stood a chance. Lock took 13 quarterback hits and six sacks while throwing for 172 yards with an interception and a fumble, to go along with 57 rush yards and a touchdown on the ground. The results with Lock looked similar to those with Jones and DeVito. The Giants’ problems go well beyond just the quarterback.
Eye-popping stat: 0 INTs in 11 games. The defense’s 11 games without a pick sets an NFL record. Its only interception this season came by rookie linebacker Darius Muasau on a tipped ball in Week 1. It’s almost hard to imagine that a ball hasn’t clanked off a receiver and fallen accidentally into a defensive back’s arms this season. — Jordan Raanan
Next game: vs. Saints (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Lions
Will the Lions target tight end Sam LaPorta more going forward? It depends on the matchup and situation. With so many offensive weapons in Detroit, it’s almost pick your poison. LaPorta didn’t reach his second receiving touchdown this season until Week 8 versus the Tennessee Titans. However, he connected with Goff for two touchdowns versus the Bears. LaPorta has 15 receiving touchdowns over the past two seasons. That’s the most by any tight end over that span, per ESPN Research.
Most surprising performance: The Lions’ running game. Thursday was first time this season Detroit failed to score a rushing touchdown. The Lions had scored one in 25 straight games — including the playoffs — which is the longest streak in NFL history. Running backs Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery combined for 175 rushing yards against Chicago.
Early prediction for next week: Lions kicker Jake Bates won’t miss a field goal. Against the Bears, Bates missed a 45-yarder in the fourth quarter. The Lions had been the only team in the NFL to not miss a field goal this season, as Bates was 19-for-19 to start his career, including game winners at Week 7 in Minnesota and Week 10 at Houston. — Eric Woodyard
Next game: vs. Packers (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Bears
Can Bears coach Matt Eberflus survive this loss? Eberflus defended the Bears’ disastrous clock management that led to their sixth straight loss and solidified his 5-19 record in one-score games, which is the worst by any coach with at least 20 such games in NFL history. Whether it’s a tipped Hail Mary, blocked game-winning field goal attempt, losing on a field goal in overtime or letting a timeout go to waste in Detroit, the Bears continue to find confounding ways to get beaten. Late-game decisions continue to squander quarterback Caleb Williams’ efforts to put his team in position to win, which ultimately falls on the head coach. (Note: Eberflus was fired Friday, with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown elevated to interim head coach).
Describe the game in two words: Furious comeback. The Bears turned a first-half shutout and 16-point deficit into a three-point game that they were in position to tie or win outright in the final 36 seconds. Williams led the Bears on three touchdown drives in the second half as the Chicago defense held the Lions to one touchdown after allowing nearly 6 yards per play in the first half.
What we learned about the QB today: In the second half, Williams converted in nearly every category he struggled with in the first half. He was 8-for-11 on passes outside of the numbers (0-for-7 in first half), 4-for-7 on passes with at least 15 air yards (0-for-6 in first half), 5-for-8 on third down (0-for-6) and 3-for-5 on throws when pressured (0-for-3). The quarterback set a single-season rookie franchise record at 15 touchdown passes. — Courtney Cronin
Tim Vickery, South America correspondentNov 20, 2024, 07:00 AM ET
Qualification for the 2026 World Cup in South America kicked off with six rounds last year, less than nine months after Lionel Messi and Argentina won the 2022 final in Qatar.
Since September, another six have been played, leaving the campaign two thirds complete. From now on, things are a little more spaced out with double-headers in late March, early June and mid-September.
So, after the latest frantic burst of matches, what are the big questions hanging over the teams as they prepare for their final push to reach the finals in the United States, Mexico and Canada.
Argentina
1st place: 25 points (goal difference, +14)
Is a glorious era coming to a close?
Tuesday’s 1-0 win over Peru took Argentina to 25 points. In all of the previous 10-team campaigns, that has been enough to guarantee sixth place. Since the top six teams qualify automatically for 2026, we can safely conclude that with a third of the matches still to go, the World Cup holders have already done enough to ensure they will be there in North America to defend their crown.
And yet. There is a vague sense of unease around, perhaps best expressed by Juan Pablo Varsky, one of the country’s leading football writers. After last week’s 2-1 defeat to Paraguay, he wrote that the Peru game would “represent something very important — the end of the nucleus that we have come to know as the best Argentina side ever.”
He is referring to a feeling that the current team may have passed its peak — that Ángel Di María is impossible to replace, that Messi’s international future remains uncertain, perhaps to a view that the side needs a rethink. Can Messi operate together with both Lautaro Martínez and Julián Álvarez? Probably not against the best sides. “The moment has come,” Varsky concluded, “to renew, change, look for alternatives.” We will soon find out if coach Lionel Scaloni agrees with him.
Uruguay
2nd: 20 (+8)
Has the storm passed?
This time last year, Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay had just beaten Brazil and Argentina, and were the continent’s in-form team. The coach appeared an excellent fit for an ageing side in need of a changing of the guard.
But things started to go wrong during the Copa América. The long-term injury to Barcelona centre-back Ronald Araújo has sent shudders all through the side, and then there is the question of the relationship between a notoriously eccentric coach and his players. After retiring from international football, Luis Suárez went public with a list of complaints that seemed to be widely shared in the dressing room, and suddenly Uruguay were plunged into crisis. They failed to score for four games, even managing to lose to Peru, and more poor results this month might have made the situation unsustainable. And the opponents were tough.
But Uruguay rallied for a dramatic win over Colombia and a battling draw away to Brazil. Bielsa’s decisions paid off: leaving Manuel Ugarte, by the coach’s admission the best player of his reign, out of the starting lineup against Colombia; taking Darwin Núñez off at half-time against Brazil worked out OK. Uruguay seem to be back on course.
Ecuador
3rd: 19 (+7)
Have they found the missing piece?
Ecuador have a claim to be the most solid side in CONMEBOL qualifying. Were it not for a three-point penalty they would be second in the table. Tuesday’s 1-0 win away to Colombia might be the best performance of the entire campaign — both for the way they controlled the game for the first 20 minutes. and also for how they defended for over an hour after having Piero Hincapié sent off.
The defensive unit is extremely impressive. Just four goals conceded in 12 games tells its own story. Ecuador have a magnificent crop of centre-backs, and Moisés Caicedo spearheads a dynamic, athletic midfield. The problem is at the other end, where there is a dearth of strikers. Ecuador remain over-dependent on Enner Valencia — whose winner against Colombia was superb, but who is now at the veteran stage. There are few alternatives. Kevin Rodríguez is a willing tryer, but not a consistent goal threat. Leo Campana struggles physically at this level.
But at least Gonzalo Plata is back. The strong, left-footed winger was a star of Ecuador’s excellent under-20 side of 2019. Since then his nomadic career has proved wayward, on and off the pitch. He recently joined Flamengo in Brazil, and after an uneasy start is beginning to flower. He was a big plus point for Ecuador in this month’s games, and if he can stay consistent he can add greatly to the team’s firepower.
Colombia
4th: 19 (+5)
How will the coach react to his first crisis?
Nestor Lorenzo went two years unbeaten with Colombia until falling to Argentina in the final of the Copa América. His team were still the only unbeaten side in the World Cup qualifiers — but they have now lost three of their last four matches. This is new territory for Lorenzo and his men.
True, all three were narrow, single-goal defeats. But how much will this sequence shake the faith of the dressing room? Will there be a serious rethink? James Rodríguez is vital to the team, but at what point does his lack of activity at club level become a problem? Will Jhon Durán be trusted to become the regular first-choice centre-forward? At the moment that role often belongs to Jhon Córdoba, but the more the coach insists with him the more chances he misses.
Next up, at the end of March, with Duran once more suspended, is the visit to Brazil, a game where Colombia can expect to be seriously tested. After that one, most of the remaining fixtures look easier, but another defeat (a fourth in five games) could open up the wounds of a generation of players still suffering from the trauma of missing out on the Qatar World Cup. Colombia will surely be present in 2026. A few months ago it seemed as if they might even travel to North America as one of the tournament surprises. Can they preserve that belief?
What happened to Messi in Argentina’s loss vs. Paraguay?
Herculez Gomez reacts to Lionel Messi’s performance in Argentina’s 2-1 loss against Paraguay.
Brazil
5th: 18 (+6)
What is stopping Brazil playing to their potential?
Many of those present in a half-full stadium in Salvador jeered the home side on Tuesday after Brazil were held to a 1-1 draw by Uruguay. Fifth place after 12 games is a poor return for a team with such talent — most national sides would die to have Brazil’s goalkeepers, centre-backs and especially their wingers.
But perhaps therein lies the problem. Brazil’s talent is unevenly distributed around the pitch. There are more strikers in wide spaces than they can use. One of them, Raphinha, is now operating more centrally. When they go at speed in space it can be exhilarating, with the opposing defence at full stretch to hold them. But it can all be too frenetic, too direct, without pauses and changes in rhythm. And also, crucially, the way the side is set up is leaving Brazil too open in central midfield. In game after game they are conceding because the opposition are given too much space in front of Brazil’s defensive line.
The good news is that there should be no lingering doubts about qualifying for 2026. They were dismissed by last month’s victories over the bottom two teams in the table. This gives coach Dorival Júnior time to improve the balance of his side — and on the road to 2026, he should welcome the fact that he has some tricky games ahead. Every one of them is invaluable practice, because there is a lot of work ahead if the team are to make good on Dorival’s promise and make it all the way to the next World Cup final.
Paraguay
6th: 17 (+1)
How on earth have they done it?
After last year’s six rounds Paraguay had only five points and just one goal to their name. Things then got worse. In the Copa América they were knocked out in the group phase after losing all three matches. But now they look well on course to make it to their first World Cup since 2010. In this year’s six rounds they picked up more points than anyone else, despite a difficult run of fixtures. This has been an extraordinary turn around, and most of the credit has to go to Gustavo Alfaro, their third coach of the campaign.
A late choice to take charge of Ecuador in the last World Cup cycle, Alfaro took instantly to national team football. In a lengthy history in his native Argentina, Alfaro had performed best with smaller teams who are able to play on the counter-attack. This has made him a good fit for his national teams. He did a fine job with Ecuador and seems to be doing an even better one with Paraguay. Low-key, unflashy, he is an excellent defensive organiser whose teams can also carry an attacking threat.
He has been greatly boosted by the return to fitness of Brighton & Hove Albion’s Julio Enciso, who missed last year’s games through injury. And two wins from the remaining six games might be enough to get Paraguay over the line.
Bolivia
7th: 13 (-14)
Do the numbers add up?
Bolivia always seemed likely to benefit from the expansion of the World Cup. They are so strong at home — at the extreme altitude of La Paz — that they could hope to make it to their first World Cup since 1994 without picking up points on the road.
But they got off to a disastrous start, losing their first two home games. The situation called for desperate measures. This year they have moved their home base even higher, to the stadium in El Alto, which makes life even harder for unacclimatised opponents. And then came September’s shock win away to Chile, their first victory on the road in World Cup qualification for over 30 years.
It seemed, then, just a case of winning the remaining home games. But they have just dropped two points with a 2-2 draw with Paraguay. This puts the pressure on. There are three more home matches. Win them and Bolivia go to 21 points — probably not enough to finish in the top six, but likely to be sufficient to come seventh and have the chance of a play off.
Venezuela
8th: 12 (-4)
On the road to heartbreak?
A year ago, after six rounds, Venezuela were lying fourth in the table — above Brazil — and dreaming of finally making their World Cup debut. Such belief was reinforced by a promising Copa América. But the subsequent six rounds have proved extremely disappointing. Venezuela did not win a single game and added only three points, the lowest total of any side. The 2026 dream is in serious danger of slipping away. There have been injury problems, especially to Yangel Herrera, the team’s best midfielder, and time is perhaps finally catching up with centre-forward Salomón Rondón.
But all is not lost. Venezuela remain strong at their home base of Maturin. In the course of these last six matches they drew at home with Uruguay, Argentina and Brazil. The remaining home matches include Peru and Bolivia. After eight rounds without a win, Venezuela have it within them to get back in contention for the playoff slot. But can they cope with a situation where a win is a necessity rather than a bonus?
Chile
9th: 9 (-11)
Can coach Gareca pull off a miracle?
Peru were dreadful before the arrival of Argentine coach Ricardo Gareca, and have been dreadful once more since his departure. While he was in charge, those same players reached their first World Cup since 1982 and came very close to another.
Can Gareca do something similar with Chile? His reign has been a massive disappointment so far. But Tuesday’s 4-2 win over Venezuela leaves Chile just four points behind Bolivia, who are currently in the playoff position. This hardly seems justified. Chile have been so poor — even losing at home to Bolivia — that they are extremely lucky to still be in with the remotest chance of making it to 2026. But, as we have seen, Gareca has a track record.
Perhaps the bigger question is this — how come the Copa América champions of 2015 and 2016 have declined so much? No replacements have appeared for the golden generation, youth development work has been substandard and the transformation of Chile’s clubs into business, held up as a panacea 15 years ago, has not had the desired results. Nevertheless, the possibility of 2026 redemption exists — although it will almost certainly need a win away to Bolivia in June. If Gareca can find a way to win that game, then he really will be a miracle worker.
Peru
10th: 7 (-12)
Did anyone really expect anything better?
A dismal total of three goals in 12 games tells its own story. Uruguayan coach Jorge Fossati, the second of the campaign, has tried to make his team solid, with his favourite back three system. But it has come at the cost of posing an attacking threat. The sad fact is that he has little to work with. Approaching his 41st birthday, Paolo Guerrero is still the centre-forward.
Peruvian football is going through a dismal time. The last time one of the country’s clubs made it out of the group phase in the Copa Libertadores, South America’s Champions League, was back in 2013. Peru has just lost the right to stage the continent’s U20 competition at the start of next year. The president of the local football association was recently arrested, accused of heading a criminal organisation. It is no surprise that Peru sit at the bottom of the table.
The first month of the 2024-25 NBA season is nearly done and we are getting early glimpses of which teams are built to make a deep run in the playoffs.
It was no surprise that the Boston Celtics were going to be near the top of the Eastern Conference standings, but did anyone predict the Cleveland Cavaliers remaining undefeated and inching toward history?
Meanwhile, teams like the Philadelphia 76ers and the Milwaukee Bucks are stumbling out the gates. All the preseason talk about winning titles has quickly turned into what could be done to salvage their seasons.
And the Western Conference? Take your pick at this point. The young Oklahoma City Thunder sit on top but don’t count out the veteran-laden teams (Golden State Warriors, Phoenix Suns) or the superstar-led squads (Dallas Mavericks, Los Angeles Lakers, Denver Nuggets).
Our ESPN insiders answer one big question on the top NBA teams with title ambitions and what they need to do to stay among the contenders.
Jump to a team: BOS | CLE | MIA | MIL | NYK | ORL | PHI DAL | DEN | GS | LAL | MEM | MIN OKC | PHX | SAC
Eastern Conference
What is the biggest hurdle the Boston Celtics face in their title defense?
Health. Just look around the league with stars going down left and right. During its title run last season, the Celtics saw Jimmy Butler, Donovan Mitchell and Tyrese Haliburton all miss time against them (and Kristaps Porzingis for them) with injuries en route to Banner 18. Boston is already dealing with Porzingis missing the start of the season, Jaylen Brown sitting out a few games and Al Horford being managed in his late 30s. But if this team can stay healthy, the Celtics should be the clear favorites to emerge from the East this spring, and have a chance to become the first team to repeat as champions since the Warriors in 2017-18. — Tim Bontemps
What’s the biggest factor behind the Cleveland Cavaliers’ hot start?
It’s simple but powerful: The Cavs are making shots. They have the same roster as a year ago — and it should be noted that shooting specialists Max Strus and Sam Merrill have been knocked down with injury — that finished a pedestrian 15th in 3-point accuracy. So how do you explain why they’re shooting the best in the league at nearly 42% on 3s this year?
Well, there has been some positive luck for sure and they certainly will return to earth a little. But the Cavs’ offensive speed and ball movement mean more shots are open, they’ve soared near the top of the league in average shot quality.
Caris LeVert, a career 34% shooter from 3, is hitting at 46%. Mitchell, a career 37% shooter, is at 42%. Darius Garland, a career 39% shooter, is at 46%. Ty Jerome, who played in only two games last season due to injury and is a career 37% shooter, is making 54%.
The Cavs will eventually lose games and start missing more 3s. But maybe not as many as anyone assumed, on either front. — Brian Windhorst
What version of the Miami Heat is the real one?
This is the question that has hung over the Heat for more than a calendar year. In three of the past five years, the Miami Heat have made it to the Eastern Conference finals, and in two of those the Heat reached the NBA Finals. Across four of the past five seasons, however, Miami has been a bottom four seed in the East playoff picture. Entering this season, the Heat were determined to find out which of those teams they were and make a decision about their future moving forward. If they see themselves as a true contender, they can try to add to this group and make a run. But if they don’t, then some long and difficult conversations will be had before the trade deadline. — Bontemps
What’s at stake if the Milwaukee Bucks fail to turn their season around?
The Bucks have a superstar in Giannis Antetokounmpo playing at an even higher level than when he won back-to-back MVP awards, which puts pressure on the franchise to maximize his prime. Consider how Milwaukee has responded in recent years when it fell short of expectations — firing a championship coach after losing in the first round in 2023 and then shaking up the roster to acquire another star in Damian Lillard. The Bucks still believe they can climb out of the 5-9 hole they have put themselves in, and they have already started to scan the trade market for help. But it will be difficult for the Bucks to make another shake-up that helps this current core, as they do not control their own first-round draft pick until 2031. — Jamal Collier
Karl-Anthony Towns or Mikal Bridges: Which of the newest New York Knicks has made a bigger impact?
Towns, who’s surrendered a 73.3% field goal percentage within six feet on defense, is providing less statistical resistance than any big man in the league right now. It’s clearly something he and the Knicks will need to improve in order to reach their lofty goals. Still, he has managed to be far more impactful than Bridges, who has also appeared lackluster on defense this season, despite his reputation on that end.
Towns has averaged more than 30 points and 12 rebounds over his past seven games, all while enjoying career-best efficiency on the season and 50% shooting from the 3-point line. Bridges has had key moments — he had the game-sealing block Friday night against his old Brooklyn Nets teammates — but it’s also clear that he’s lacked aggression on offense. In trying to fit in with this new group, he’s shot just 11 free throws in 13 games, a rate that would be the lowest of his career by far. — Chris Herring
How do the Orlando Magic stay competitive with Paolo Banchero out?
Stout defense and reigning Eastern Conference player of the week Franz Wagner stepping up has proved a potent combo during a five-game winning streak for the Magic.
None of Orlando’s opponents cracked triple-digits during that winning streak, easily the longest stretch in the NBA this season. (No other defense has done it more than two consecutive games.) Overall, the Magic’s 103.5 defensive rating ranks second in the league, allowing Orlando to win with a subpar offense.
At the other end, Wagner is producing at an All-Star level, scoring 20-plus points in seven consecutive games, tying the longest streak of his career. He averaged 27.4 points and 5.4 assists per game in that span, similar production to Banchero’s 29.0 PPG and 5.6 APG before he went down with a torn oblique.
Ideally, pairing Wagner’s breakout start with Banchero will lift the Magic’s offense out of the NBA’s bottom 10. For now, Orlando has remained in position to earn home-court advantage in the East playoffs. — Kevin Pelton
How do the Philadelphia 76ers climb out of the East basement while balancing load management?
The 76ers will do this by being in a conference where there is seemingly endless time for teams to get right. But this also is going to come down to the 76ers starting to win games, and getting their three stars — Joel Embiid, Paul George and Tyrese Maxey — on the court together. Their schedule softens up over the next month, and there are few back-to-backs, meaning this is the perfect time for the three of them to build chemistry and start stacking wins. In the East there could be a point where it’s too big of a climb for Philadelphia to make. — Bontemps
Western Conference
Do the Dallas Mavericks have enough defense to get back to the Finals?
The Mavs entered the week with the league’s ninth-ranked defense, allowing 111.0 points per 100 possessions. That’s the kind of territory that Dallas needs to be in for a chance to return to the Finals. It’s a bit surprising that the Mavs rank that high considering their personnel challenges and Luka Doncic’s glaring struggles on that end of the court coming off the calf contusion that sidelined him all preseason. If the Mavs make a move before the trade deadline, it will likely be for a defensive upgrade, although getting Dante Exum (wrist surgery) back in the rotation could have a similar effect. Under Jason Kidd and his lead assistant Sean Sweeney, the Mavs have a track record of making significant strides on the defensive end throughout the season. Just look at last season when the Mavs were mostly mediocre defensively before morphing into the league’s top-ranked unit in the final 20 games. — Tim MacMahon
Which Denver Nuggets’ starter does Nikola Jokic need most to step up?
When Jamal Murray is playing at his best, the Nuggets have a dynamic two-star combo alongside Jokic. So far this season, Murray has shown only glimpses of his old dominant self. Murray has logged heavy minutes this season — playing 35 or more minutes in eight of his nine games, having missed three more due to concussion protocol. He has scored only 20 or more points in three games. When Jokic was out due to personal reasons for two games last Friday and Sunday, Murray scored 16 and 13 points in the two losses. He is capable of scoring that in a quarter. With Aaron Gordon still out with a calf injury, the Nuggets need Murray to find the form that helped them win the 2023 Finals. — Ohm Youngmisuk
Which Golden State Warriors players have risen or regressed in Kerr’s 12-man rotation?
The Warriors wanted to use the first 30 games to help coach Steve Kerr to solidify his starting lineup and rotation, a source told ESPN.
But 13 games in, he’s already forming some clear ideas on his starting lineup — which features newcomer De’Anthony Melton (when he’s healthy) alongside Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green and Trayce Jackson-Davis.
Buddy Hield has cemented himself as the go-to sixth man following a strong start to the season with Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga as the next two off the bench. Kyle Anderson, Kevon Looney, Gary Payton II and Moses Moody have all seen their minutes vary as Kerr lands on his rotations. However, because Kerr’s 12-man rotation has worked so well, there doesn’t seem to be too much pressure to cut people out. As it stands, no player has a problem with this. But, everything is easy to accept when you are winning. — Kendra Andrews
How do the Los Angeles Lakers stay competitive while minimizing LeBron James’ usage?
With James declaring at the outset of the season his aim to play all 82 games in his 22nd season, there needed to be some protections put in place by coach JJ Redick. The offense has been orchestrated through Anthony Davis, resulting in a career-high 31.1 points per game — and a career-low 27.4 usage percentage for James. Beyond maximizing Davis’ prime, the hope is the distribution can allow James to pick his spots. The Lakers are second in the league in fourth quarter scoring, averaging 30.8 points per game. James is averaging 6.7 of his 23.3 PPG in the fourth quarter this season — accounting for about 29% of his scoring output on any given night. The vision came together for a vintage James performance Saturday in New Orleans when he scored 11 of his 21 points in the fourth to help L.A. grind out a road win on the second night of a back-to-back. — Dave McMenamin
How do Ja Morant and the Memphis Grizzlies bounce back from last season’s struggles?
Last season and the early portion of this season is a great indicator that it’s easier said than done, but all Memphis needs to do is stay healthy. Morant was suspended 25 games last season, then suffered a season-ending injury after playing in just nine games. Now, he is week to week with a hip injury. As a result of last season’s onslaught of injuries, Memphis discovered gems such as Scotty Pippen Jr. and Jay Huff who pair well with recent draft picks Zach Edey and Jaylen Wells. When all the Grizzlies’ starters return, that depth will give opposing second units problems. Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane have already made their returns from injuries and are still coming off the bench as reserves. When Morant returns, Memphis will be close to whole again. Staying that way will be the key. — Michael Wright
What is the biggest issue the Minnesota Timberwolves need to address before they fall too far?
The Timberwolves have slipped more at the defensive end than on offense after swapping Towns for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo, but the slow start for 37-year-old Mike Conley still feels like their biggest concern.
Conley was a crucial part of last year’s Western Conference finals run, posting the highest true shooting percentage (.627) of his 18-year NBA career. That’s slipped all the way to a career-low .479 over the first month of this season. Conley has made just 34% of his 3s and, more worrisome, has seen his points in the paint drop from 2.6 per game to just 1.2.
With little quality perimeter depth outside Chris Finch’s tight eight-man rotation, things got even worse when Conley sat out last Wednesday in Portland to rest and Minnesota mustered just 98 points in a loss. The Timberwolves need Conley producing at a high level to contend. — Pelton
How do the Oklahoma City Thunder win with a small-ball lineup until their bigs are healthy?
After Chet Holmgren went down on Nov. 10 the Thunder went on to win their next three games, beating the Clippers in a shootout and holding a couple of injury-depleted teams (Suns and Pelicans) under 90 points. Oklahoma City can survive with an extreme version of small ball — all starters are 6-foot-6 and under — by playing a swarming, scrambling style of defense that selectively double-teams, dominating the turnover battle and exploiting offensive matchups. The Thunder are asking a lot of rising star Jalen Williams, the de facto starting center until Isaiah Hartenstein has recovered from his broken hand. Williams responded by averaging 25.0 points, 6.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 2.3 steals and 1.3 blocks in the first four games that Holmgren missed. — MacMahon
What’s at stake for the Phoenix Suns’ superstar players if they can’t maintain this hot start?
It’s not realistic to expect the Suns to maintain their strong start while Kevin Durant is sidelined with a calf strain, especially if Bradley Beal is also missing games. The Suns’ top priority should be figuring out how to position themselves to be in peak form for a deep playoff run. That means managing the minutes of Durant once he returns. A 36-year-old with an extensive injury history can’t reasonably average 38.8 minutes per game, as Durant did during the Suns’ 8-1 start — including going 7-0 in clutch games (when the score was within five points with less than five minutes left). The emergence of rookie Ryan Dunn and the presence of Grayson Allen and Royce O’Neale gives the Suns some quality depth at forward. They need to take a less-is-more approach with Durant the rest of the regular season — even at the expense of a win here or there — to have hope of him starting deep into the spring. — MacMahon
How will DeMar DeRozan push the Sacramento Kings over the play-in hump this season?
When the Kings acquired DeRozan over the summer, they were hoping he’d be the missing piece who would push them deeper into the playoffs.
It’s been a rocky start to the season for the Kings — plagued with injuries, inconsistency and poor bench production — but DeRozan has done all that’s been asked of him.
He’s averaging 22.9 points on 52.6% shooting in 36.5 minutes per game, and has been tremendous in the clutch, where he’s scored 36 total points this season. Teaming him up with De’Aaron Fox, who has scored a league-leading 49 clutch points, has produced exactly what Sacramento was hoping for when they made the move.
However, it hasn’t always led to wins for the 8-7 Kings. If Sacramento wants to make it back into the playoffs and beyond the first round, DeRozan will have to continue this production and the Kings will need more consistency from their role players. — Andrews
Week 11 of the NFL season kicked off Thursday with quarterback Jalen Hurts leading the Philadelphia Eagles past the Washington Commanders.
Around the NFL on Sunday, the Pittsburgh Steelers earned a statement win over the Baltimore Ravens, the Detroit Lions overpowered the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints look like they are headed in the right direction after posting their second consecutive wins.
Our NFL Nation reporters reacted to all the action, answering lingering questions coming out of each game and detailing everything else you need to know for every team. Let’s get to it.
Can the Rams’ offense sustain this success as they attempt a playoff run? After the Rams didn’t score a touchdown against Miami, coach Sean McVay called the offense “inconsistent.” While the Rams scored 28 points against the Patriots, they did it all in the second and third quarters. The Rams did not turn the ball over for the first time since Week 3. They’ll face a tougher test in Week 12 against a Philadelphia defense ranked seventh in DVOA. The Rams have won three out of four games after a 1-4 start and now have a playoff probability of 14%, according to NFL Next Gen Stats.
Eye-popping stat: Matthew Stafford’s second-quarter touchdown pass to wide receiver Puka Nacua had a completion probability of 13.5%, per NFL Next Gen Stats. That’s Stafford’s lowest completion probability on any passing touchdown since 2017, when NGS began tracking that stat. The play gave the Rams a lead they never relinquished.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Another slow start offensively. For the seventh time in 10 games, the Rams failed to score in the first quarter. They have been outscored by 50 points in first quarters this season, which is the worst in the NFL, according to ESPN Research. When asked last week whether they could pinpoint the reason for the early scoring struggles, both Stafford and McVay said it’s the result of poor execution. — Sarah Barshop
Next game: vs. Eagles (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Patriots
Does first-year coach Jerod Mayo need to be more aggressive with his playcalling? Mayo has referred to himself as a “defensive head coach,” and some of his decision-making reflected that. He didn’t attempt a 54-yard field goal (tough wind in that direction); he settled for a field goal on fourth-and-3 from the Rams’ 13 late in the second quarter; and he called for a PAT instead of a two-point conversion while trailing 28-19 early in the fourth quarter (it was blocked). Such decisions are always easy to second guess, but none worked out for the Patriots. Mayo has said he’s taking notes throughout his first season and plans to learn from his experience. This game presented multiple decisions from which he can learn.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Aligning correctly along the offensive line. The Patriots led 7-0 and appeared to convert on third-and-8 on a 17-yard connection from quarterback Drake Maye to tight end Hunter Henry. But an illegal formation penalty called on left tackle Vederian Lowe — which might have been a result of how deep left guard Michael Jordan aligned next to him — negated the play. It was a turning point in the game.
Most surprising performance: Pass coverage. It certainly didn’t help that the Patriots couldn’t generate a consistent rush, but the secondary — which is a strength of the defense — didn’t have many answers for the potent combination of Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. Nacua had six receptions for 117 yards and a touchdown in the first half. Kupp had two touchdowns, and the latter was a backbreaking 69-yarder early in the third quarter. — Mike Reiss
Next game: at Dolphins (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Vikings
Was this a bounce-back game for quarterback Sam Darnold? Absolutely. The game began inauspiciously when, on the third play of the Vikings’ first possession, Darnold’s pitch to running back Aaron Jones hit the ground and was recovered by the Titans. But after committing six turnovers in the previous two games, Darnold held on to the ball for the rest of the game while throwing two touchdown passes and running for a third. That was no small feat given the heavy pressure (38% of offensive snaps) he endured from the Titans’ defensive front, which was active even after the Vikings gave right guard Dalton Risner — a strong pass blocker — his first start of the season.
Describe the game in two words: Penalty buffet. The Vikings had two touchdown drives extended by penalties against the Titans, including one on a fourth down incompletion. Penalties sometimes cancel out over the course of a game, but the Vikings held a big advantage throughout and ended up with three for 35 yards compared to the Titans’ 13 for 91 yards.
Most surprising performance: Backup linebacker Pat Jones II pressured Titans quarterback Will Levis throughout the game, finishing with two sacks. They were his first sacks since Week 4, but he already has a career-high seven on the season. — Kevin Seifert
Next game: at Bears (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Vikings pick off Will Levis late to secure win
Titans quarterback Will Levis throws an interception in final minutes against the Vikings.
Titans
Can quarterback Will Levis’ big plays boost him for the rest of the season? Levis showed glimpses of the deep passer he was last season. It started with a beautifully thrown pass from his own end zone to Nick Westbrook-Ikhine for a 98-yard touchdown. Levis’ deep strike to Calvin Ridley for 51 yards on a post the next series was another well-placed pass, but an illegal formation penalty called it back. Those two passes seemed to do something for Levis. With seven games left in the season, he can build upon his season-high 295 passing yards in his quest to prove he’s Tennessee’s future at QB.
Describe the game in two words: Uphill battle. The Titans knew they were going to be attacked by Brian Flores’ defense. Minnesota did just that against the Titans’ offensive line, resulting in five sacks. The Titans also didn’t get the benefit of the whistle. The biggest penalty they committed was against safety Mike Brown, who was called for a personal foul after he broke up a pass on fourth down.
Early prediction for next week: The Titans have allowed quarterbacks to rush for a touchdown in each of their past two games, and Darnold managed to escape multiple would-be sacks and deliver the ball downfield for big plays. Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud could rush for his first touchdown of the year next week. — Turron Davenport
Next game: at Texans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Packers
Is this what quarterback Jordan Love needed to get rolling? On a day when the Packers signal-caller threw his 11th interception to match his season total from last year, he and the offense left Soldier Field knowing that if they need a game-winning drive, they can get one. Trailing 19-14, Love, who was effective all game when throwing deep, hit receiver Christian Watson for a 60-yard catch-and-run. That set up the go-ahead score with 2:59 left in the game.
Describe the game in two words: Lucky win. The Packers got away with a flat performance for the first 3½ quarters and only their last drive — and Karl Brooks blocking a 46-yard field goal attempt on the final play of the game — saved them from embarrassment. The Packers were fortunate not to lose any more ground in the NFC North.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Red zone decisions. The Packers threw the ball on second-and-1 from the Bears’ 5-yard line and got flagged for an ineligible man downfield. Two plays later, on third-and-11 from the 15, Love threw his 11th interception of the season. Later, coach Matt LaFleur went for it on fourth-and-goal instead of settling for a field goal that would have cut the Bears’ lead to 19-17. — Rob Demovsky
Next game: vs. 49ers (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bears
How did the offensive coordinator change affect the Bears’ offense? New OC Thomas Brown’ game plan led to more decisiveness from rookie quarterback Caleb Williams, who held the ball less (2.3 seconds, the lowest of his career) and made short, quick throws to combat the Packers’ pass rush. The Bears leaned heavily on the run, including a career-high 70 rushing yards from Williams, got their top playmakers involved (17 total catches for wide receivers DJ Moore, Rome Odunze and Keenan Allen) and had more third-down conversions (eight) than they did the previous three weeks combined (six).
Describe the game in two words: Gut punch. Chicago was playing its best complementary football since before its recent four-game losing streak. After cornerback Terell Smith picked off Jordan Love in the red zone, the Bears ended their streak of 25 straight drives without a touchdown. But Cairo Santos had a 46-yard field goal blocked as time expired, which would have given Chicago its first win over Green Bay in 11 meetings.
Biggest hole in the game plan: The Bears need to play better along the defensive line. They pressured Love on only three of his 17 dropbacks (3-of-3, 72 passing yards) and running back Josh Jacobs went untouched into the end zone on Green Bay’s lone third-quarter drive. With nose tackle Andrew Billings (pectoral) out for the season, Chicago’s D-line needs to find solutions for their porous run defense. Quickly. — Courtney Cronin
Next game: vs. Vikings (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Saints
Is the bye coming at the right time for the Saints? New Orleans is finally picking up some positive momentum with its first win streak since Week 2, potentially putting the bye at an inopportune time. But it’s been a long season for the Saints, who fired coach Dennis Allen after a seven-game losing streak and promoted Darren Rizzi to interim coach. The Saints have dealt with a laundry list of injuries, and this could be a good opportunity for players such as Erik McCoy and Pete Werner to heal injuries they have been playing through. They face the Rams and Giants after the bye.
Describe the game in two words: Taysom Time. The Saints got the full Taysom Hill experience against the Browns — he was a blocker, receiver, quarterback and running back. He scored three times but was also picked off throwing deep and fumbled near the end zone. Per ESPN Research, Taysom Hill is the first player with three rushing touchdowns, 50 receiving yards and one pass completion in a game since the Chiefs’ Ed Podolak in 1971.
Most surprising performance: WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Valdes-Scantling joined the team only a month ago but has already proved he can be the team’s explosive element with Rashid Shaheed out for the season. Valdes-Scantling has now scored three touchdowns in two games, tying the team lead in receiving touchdowns. He had a 71-yard touchdown in the first half Sunday. — Katherine Terrell
Next game: vs. Rams (Dec. 1, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Taysom Hill goes 75 yards for his 3rd TD of the game
Taysom Hill races past the Browns defense for a 75-yard touchdown to ice the game for the Saints.
Browns
Do the Browns have a wide receiver corps they can build around? Jerry Jeudy had his best game of the season with a 142-yard performance (his first 100-plus-yard game since 2022). Elijah Moore delivered an acrobatic touchdown catch. And wide receiver Cedric Tillman chipped in with 47 yards. All three players are 25 or younger and have stepped up since the trade of Amari Cooper, giving the Browns something to be bullish on as they inch closer to their third losing season since Kevin Stefanski became head coach in 2020.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Not placing more attention on Taysom Hill. The Browns talked about how mindful they would have to be of Hill and his multifaceted role. But time and time again, they lost track of or couldn’t bring down Hill, who recorded a career-high eight catches, completed a pass and ran into the end zone three times.
Most surprising performance: Kicker Dustin Hopkins missed a pair of field goals, including a 27-yard attempt as time expired in the first half. Another missed kick was negated by a holding penalty. It was just the second time in Hopkins’ 134-game career that he missed two field goal attempts in a game. — Daniel Oyefusi
Next game: vs. Steelers (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Steelers
Was this a bad game or a bad sign for Russell Wilson? Despite a stout defensive effort to force three turnovers and two rare misses from Ravens kicker Justin Tucker, the Steelers’ offense managed only nine points on the ensuing drives — and it nearly cost them in Sunday’s 18-16 win. Wilson completed 1 of 8 attempts for minus-1 yards with an interception and four sacks when pressured. And in the the red zone, he completed just 2 of 9 attempts for 7 yards and an interception. He papered over an inefficient performance a week ago against the Commanders with a rebound fourth quarter and a game-winning moon ball to Mike Williams. But Wilson couldn’t do the same against a statistically weaker Ravens defense.
Biggest hole in the game plan: Not getting more from the Steelers’ wide receivers. Against the league’s worst pass defense, receivers not named George Pickens struggled to get open. Pickens led all receivers with eight catches on 12 targets for 89 yards, but the rest of the receivers combined for two catches on four targets for 3 yards. At halftime, the Steelers had just 52 net passing yards.
Most surprising performance: Chris Boswell. With the offense struggling to convert in the red zone, Boswell came through with six field goals, including three of 50 or more yards. Sunday marked Boswell’s fourth game with four or more field goals this season, matching his own franchise record set in 2017. — Brooke Pryor
Next game: at Browns (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Ravens
How much does this loss put a dent in the Ravens’ chances to win the AFC North? This is a major setback for the Ravens in their pursuit to become back-to-back AFC North champions. Baltimore’s chances to win the division dropped to 37%, according to ESPN Analytics. It’s difficult to believe the Ravens can overtake the Steelers when quarterback Lamar Jackson continues to struggle against them. The reigning NFL Most Valuable Player is now 1-4 against Pittsburgh after completing a season-worst 48.4% of his passes (16-of-33), which doesn’t include his desperation toss on a failed two-point conversion.
Describe the game in two words: Uncharacteristic mistakes. The Ravens turned the ball over three times after not committing a turnover in their previous three games. The most glaring one was an interception im which Steelers linebacker Payton Wilson wrestled the ball away from running back Justice Hill. That ended a streak of 161 passes without a pick for Jackson. Two fumbles were converted into two field goals, which was the difference in the game.
Most surprising performance: Justin Tucker. The NFL’s most accurate kicker was full of surprises. Tucker missed field goals from 47 and 50 yards in the first quarter, which marked the first time since 2022 that he had failed to convert on back-to-back attempts. — Jamison Hensley
Next game: at Chargers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Colts
Did quarterback Anthony Richardson show progress in his return to the lineup? It was not perfect, but Richardson took a step in the right direction after two weeks on the bench. He was more rhythmic in his passing, more accurate with his throws and more in command of the offense. His final numbers — 20-of-30 for 272 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions — were a mixed bag. But he didn’t turn the ball over, which had plagued him earlier in the season. The other variable of note was coach Shane Steichen’s adjusted playcalling. The offensive play selection seemed to mesh better with Richardson’s skills, including a significant increase in designed quarterback runs.
Biggest hole in the game plan: The Colts repeatedly tried and failed to generate rushing success. The Colts could not come up with more creative run schemes to beat the Jets’ defensive front. Running back Jonathan Taylor rushed for 31 yards on seven carries in the first quarter, but he was limited to 26 yards on 17 attempts the rest of the way.
Describe the game in two words: Good enough. The Colts had lost three straight and go home to face the red-hot Lions next week. With their playoff hopes dimming and a long week of debate over their quarterback situation looming, the Colts managed to take advantage of a bad Jets team. Indianapolis still has an eye on the postseason. — Stephen Holder
Next game: vs. Lions (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Anthony Richardson puts Colts ahead for good with late TD run
Anthony Richardson runs in a touchdown with less than a minute left to lead the Colts past the Jets.
Jets
What happened to the Jets’ once-formidable defense? The Jets top the 25-point mark for the first time this season and what happens? Their defense, once their pride and joy, chokes it away in the final two minutes. Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson marched 70 yards on six plays for the winning touchdown. The Jets looked lost on the final drive. Ditto, their final offensive possession, as quarterback Aaron Rodgers made poor decisions as time ran out. It was a brutal ending.
Most surprising performance: For the first time in his career, running back Breece Hall scored a rushing touchdown and a receiving TD in the same game. That’s a surprise, considering he has been such a productive receiver. The offense is a lot better when Hall is heavily involved. He produced 121 yards from scrimmage, including two explosive plays — 29 yards (receiving TD) and 18 yards (running TD).
Describe the game in two words: Fourth kicker. Anders Carlson was the Jets’ fourth kicker in four games — a franchise first. And he did OK, making both field goal attempts, including a career-long 58-yarder. He wasn’t supposed to be their kicker this week, but Spencer Shrader was unexpectedly poached from the practice squad by the Chiefs on Thursday. — Rich Cimini
Next game: vs. Seahawks (Dec. 1, 1 p.m. ET)
Dolphins
Are the Dolphins officially back? With Sunday’s win over the Raiders, Miami has recorded four straight improved performances since QB Tua Tagovailoa’s return from injured reserve. Their 34 points are their most since Dec. 3 of last season. The Dolphins rank eighth in offensive expected points added over the past four weeks after ranking 31st without Tagovailoa from Weeks 3-7. If they can string two more wins together over the next two weeks, they’ll be back at .500 and firmly in the AFC playoff picture.
Describe the game in two words: Spark lit. To paraphrase what the Dolphins have said for the past two weeks, all it takes is a spark to light a fire. With their second straight win and a favorable matchup against the Patriots coming next week, they’re on the cusp of a season-saving win streak entering the final stretch of the season.
Early prediction for next week: Another massive workload for running back De’Von Achane. After failing to record a carry in Week 10, Raheem Mostert ran the ball three times for minus-2 yards Sunday. Meanwhile, Achane recorded 17 carries for 73 yards, as well as 32 receiving yards. Mostert’s ball security issues paved the way for Achane to take an even greater share of the backfield workload, which doesn’t appear to be changing soon. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Next game: vs. Patriots (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Raiders
Can the Raiders’ offense be more efficient to better protect its overworked defense? It had better. Sure, the Raiders looked better under new interim offensive coordinator Scott Turner as he called plays from the press box. But a certain lack of efficiency in stretches taxed the defense, which could not enforce physicality and get off the field against the speedy Dolphins. Familiarity should breed success for Las Vegas’ offense and there were enough glimpses of more imaginative playcalling to give the Raiders hope for the immediate future.
Describe the game in two words: Deja-vu. The Raiders’ seemingly season-long script — a slow start followed by a rapid descent — reared its head for the umpteenth time this season. The Raiders had actually outgained Miami in total yardage in the first half before a late Dolphins flurry. And then after getting nothing to start the second half, the Dolphins scored to start their second-half surge.
Most surprising performance: Tight end Brock Bowers going off with Michael Mayer’s return. With Mayer playing for the first time since Week 3, targets to tight ends would seemingly be at a premium, right? No. Bowers continued his Pro Bowl-level season with a career-high 13 catches for 124 yards. That was his first triple-digit receiving yards game, which included a 23-yard touchdown. — Paul Gutierrez
Next game: vs. Broncos (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Lions
Can the Lions keep overcoming injuries to key players? So far, yes. It’s next man up in Detroit. Lions captain Alex Anzalone was ruled out with a forearm injury at the start of the second half, but Detroit still dominated in his absence, scoring 50-plus points in multiple games in a season for the first time in franchise history. The Lions also lost Defensive Player of the Year candidate Aidan Hutchinson to a leg injury earlier this season, but traded for Za’Darius Smith last week, who recorded a sack in his Lions debut against Jacksonville. This Lions team has plenty of depth and has proved to be a resilient group.
Describe the game in two words: Home dominance. Surprisingly, the Lions scored their first opening drive touchdown at home this season with a goal-line rush by David Montgomery. They never looked back. Detroit used a balanced attack to score a touchdown on seven consecutive offensive drives. The Lions are also currently outscoring opponents plus-99 (188-89) at home this season, which is the most by any team in the NFL.
Most surprising performance: Lions quarterback Jared Goff. Typically, Goff isn’t viewed as a mobile quarterback. He’s known for efficiency and pinpoint accuracy, but his mobility was on display against Jacksonville as he rushed for 21 yards off four carries. Goff hadn’t rushed for 20 or more yards in a game since Sept. 20, 2021, at Green Bay, when he had 46. He also became the first quarterback in NFL history to have multiple games with a perfect passer rating (158.3) and 400 passing yards. He also accomplished that feat in 2018 with the Rams. — Eric Woodyard
Next game: at Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
Jameson Williams leaps into end zone on 64-yard TD
Jared Goff hits Jameson Williams across the middle of the field, then he turns it up and scores a touchdown for the Lions.
Jaguars
Was this coach Doug Pederson’s last game with the Jaguars? If owner Shad Khan decides to fire Pederson and doesn’t want to wait until after the season ends, this week would be the logical time to do it. The Jaguars are 2-9 after Sunday’s embarrassing loss to the Lions — and have lost 14 of their past 17 games — entering their bye week. Quarterbacks coach Mike McCoy was a coach with the San Diego Chargers from 2013-16, so he would be the logical choice as an interim for the remainder of the season.
Describe the game in two words: Different directions. The Jags and Lions appeared to be on similar trajectories following the 2022 season when both teams went 9-8. Jacksonville has gone in the opposite direction after an 8-3 start in 2023, and there are major holes to fill along the offensive line, at cornerback, linebacker and receiver, as well as adding another pass rusher. The talent gap between the two franchises was evident.
Eye-popping stat: The Jaguars gave up 644 yards to the Lions, the second-most in a single game in their 30-year franchise history. Trailing only the 653 yards they allowed to Houston in 2012. Quarterback Jared Goff’s 412 passing yards is tied for the fifth-most allowed in a game in franchise history. — Mike DiRocco
Next game: vs. Texans (Dec. 1, 1 p.m. ET)
Eagles
What is the Eagles’ ceiling at this point? It’s time to start viewing them as title contenders. Their past five wins were over teams with sub-.500 records, but they took down a quality Washington team on Thursday to extend their lead in the NFC East to 1½ games. The Eagles have positioned themselves to challenge the Lions for the top seed in the conference. There are tests remaining on the schedule, including tilts with the Ravens and Steelers, but the bulk of their travel is over: next week’s trip to play in Los Angeles against the Rams will be the Eagles’ last plane ride of the regular season. Philadelphia heads into the final stretch red-hot and largely healthy.
Eye-popping stat: Rookie cornerback Quinyon Mitchell allowed zero receptions on one target in 32 coverage snaps as the nearest defender in coverage, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Mitchell, who was often pitted against Terry McLaurin, Washington’s top receiver, is allowing 0.9 yards per coverage snap this season, the sixth best of 44 cornerbacks with at least 200 coverage snaps in 2024.
Most surprising performance: The normally reliable Jake Elliott had a subpar night, missing field goal attempts from 44 and 51 yards in the first half. He followed up with a missed extra point early in the fourth quarter after the Eagles went ahead. Elliott entered the game tied for the second-highest field goal percentage (90.9%) since 2021 among NFL kickers with 80-plus attempts but has now missed five field goals this season. — Tim McManus
Next game: at Rams (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Commanders
What has gone wrong with the offense? Coach Dan Quinn and quarterback Jayden Daniels insist the rookie signal-caller is fine physically after hurting his ribs in Week 7, but the passing game has been inconsistent the past three games. Washington has played two of the league’s best defenses in the past two games in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, and the Commanders might not have enough playmakers to challenge top units. The Steelers and Eagles generated more pressure on Daniels, perhaps speeding him up and forcing him to be less accurate than he was earlier in the season. They’ve also done a good job taking away his running ability, as Daniels has rushed for 18 combined yards in the past two games.
Biggest hole in the game plan: The inability to get the wide receivers involved, notably Terry McLaurin. McLaurin was not targeted until the third quarter — only the second time in his six-year career that he did not have a first-half target — and finished with only one catch for 10 yards. The receivers combined for four catches and 28 yards overall. Without their involvement, the offense isn’t explosive.
Describe the game in two words: Not yet. The Commanders played tough for three quarters for the second consecutive game but surrendered a four-point lead to the Eagles in the fourth quarter on Thursday after squandering a 10-point lead to the Steelers in the final period on Sunday. Washington’s next evolutionary step is learning to close out games versus good teams. — John Keim