Tag: Protect

  • WNBA expansion draft: Predicting the six players each team will protect from Golden State Valkyries

    The 2025 WNBA Draft Lottery is in the books, which means it’s time for the league to turn its attention to the next major item on the offseason agenda: the expansion draft to determine the Golden State Valkyries’ roster. 

    After years of discussion, expansion has finally arrived. The Valkyries, first announced in October 2023, will begin play in the 2025 season. They are the first new team to enter the league since the Atlanta Dream in 2008, and will be followed in the 2026 season by yet unnamed Toronto and Portland franchises. 

    In order to fill out the Valkyries’ roster, the league will hold an expansion draft on Dec. 6. For a full explanation of the process, go here

    The short of it is this: the Valkyries can pick up to 12 players, but no more than one from each of the other 12 teams. The current teams, meanwhile, can protect six players who will be ineligible for selection. That includes those on the current roster, as well as those whose draft rights they hold. 

    The current teams must have their lists turned in to the league by Monday, which will give the Valkyries time to make decisions and discuss potential trades. Unfortunately, those lists will not be made public, but we can still predict what each team might do. 

    Ahead of Monday’s deadline, here’s a look at the six players that each team might protect:

    Atlanta Dream

    The Dream have three players who are certainly going to be protected: Jordin Canada, Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray. 

    After that, there’s a number of players who could earn the final three spots. French center Iliana Rupert, who didn’t play in the WNBA last season but has shown a lot of promise overseas, would likely be on the list. She probably has the most upside of any young Dream player. Her contract expired while she was suspended, so the Dream have exclusive negotiating rights. 

    Tina Charles might come to mind, but she is ineligible to be selected by the Valkyries because she will be an unrestricted free agent and has already played the maximum two seasons under the core designation. The Dream probably wouldn’t have bothered protecting her anyway given her age. 

    That leaves two more players to protect. Will the Dream lean toward youth and their recent draft picks? Or ensure they have solid veterans to fill out the roster? You have to imagine last year’s first-round pick, Nyadiew Puoch, who stayed overseas in Australia last season, would be safe. Given that none of the other players on the roster stood out last season, perhaps they just protect their future assets and add Isobel Borlase, another Australian who has shown promise overseas. 

    There are three names that we can write down in Sharpie for the Sky’s protected list: Kamilla Cardoso, Chennedy Carter and Angel Reese. 

    Considering some of the flashes Michaela Onyenwere showed this season, particularly after the Olympic break, she should make the cut as well. If her 3-point shooting (36.8% on two attempts per game) can translate to a higher volume, that would make her a great fit on this roster. 

    Speaking of shooting, this team desperately needs some players who can space the floor around Cardoso and Reese, so Rachel Banham makes sense as another one to ensure stays around. The Sky also would not want to lose her after acquiring her as part of the Marina Mabrey trade. 

    The final spot on the list would then come down to one of their veteran frontcourt players, Elizabeth Williams or Isabelle Harrison. Williams missed most of the season with a knee injury, but she’s a truly elite defensive player when healthy. Harrison, meanwhile, had a tough campaign after returning from a knee injury that cost her all of the 2023 season. She is also an unrestricted free agent, and considering the rules restrict the Valkyries to only one such player, it makes more sense to protect Williams. 

    The Sun are in a unique spot heading into 2025, as they have just three players under contract: Marina Mabrey, Tyasha Harris and Olivia Nelson-Ododa. They also have two players, DeWanna Bonner and Brionna Jones, who are ineligible to be selected by the Valkyries because they’re set to be unrestricted free agents and have hit the limit of two seasons played under the core designation. 

    So, where does that leave the Sun? In a pretty good place for this process. Alyssa Thomas, 2024 Most Improved Player DiJonai Carrington, Mabrey and Harris are all locks to be protected. In addition, 2024 first-round pick Leila Lacan will be on the list. The 20-year-old French guard didn’t come over to the W last season, and it’s unclear when she will, but with her potential the Sun have to protect that asset. 

    The last spot likely comes down to two players: Veronica Burton and Olivia Nelson-Ododa. Neither has really done all that much in their short careers, and the Sun currently do not have a coach so it’s difficult to say for sure. Burton is a high-level perimeter defender, though, and that’s a skillset that will always be useful. 

    No team had a more disappointing 2024 season than the Wings, who won just nine games amid a horrible injury crisis. They suddenly have major hope for the future, however, after winning the 2025 WNBA Draft Lottery and the right to select Paige Bueckers. Now, they must figure out who will still be in Dallas alongside her next season. 

    There are five names we can be pretty much certain will be on the Wings’ protected list: Arike Ogunbowale, Satou Sabally (who is an unrestricted free agent and has expressed interest in leaving), Teaira McCowan, Maddy Siegrist and Jacy Sheldon, last year’s No. 5 overall pick.

    That leaves one spot. Natasha Howard is ineligible, and likely wouldn’t have been protected anyway considering she’s an unrestricted free agent and has indicated she’ll leave. The Wings would be thrilled if the Valkyries took on Kalani Brown’s contract, so it won’t be her. Then there’s the Wings’ cadre of young players, none of whom have particularly impressed. As such, they might end up going with the one who hasn’t played in the W yet: Carla Leite, the 20-year-old Frenchwoman and No. 9 pick in 2024. 

    There shouldn’t be too much deliberation in Indianapolis. The five starters from last season are all locks: Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell, Lexie Hull, NaLyssa Smith and Aliyah Boston. There’s no guarantee all of those players are in Fever uniforms next season. Mitchell is an unrestricted free agent and Smith is a candidate to be traded after posting what certainly seemed to be a farewell message. However, the Fever have to protect the assets. 

    The final spot should belong to Temi Fagbenle, who established herself as a key rotation player, and even started the team’s final playoff game, due to how well she connected with Clark. While Damiris Dantas could make a case with her ability to space the floor, Fagbenle was a much more important part of the team. 

    There are four names we don’t have to think twice about with the Aces: A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Kelsey Plum — an unrestricted free agent — and Chelsea Gray. The core four will be protected. 

    The debate will start with the last two spots, which should come down to four other players: Alysha Clark, Tiffany Hayes, Kiah Stokes and Kate Martin. Clark and Hayes are the two best players in the bunch, but they’re both unrestricted free agents — the Valkyries can only select one such player in total — and in their late 30s. Stokes can clog up the team’s offense, but she is the only reliable true big on the team outside of Wilson. As for Martin, she fell out of the rotation late in the season, but is the only intriguing young player on the roster. 

    In the end, it probably makes the most sense to keep Clark and Martin. Even at 37, Clark’s ability to space the floor and handle bigger matchups on defense remains crucial for the Aces. Would the Valkyries actually take her? Probably not, but why even take the chance? In regards to Martin, she showed some positive signs early in her rookie season and has potential as a solid role player given her shooting ability. Plus, the Aces’ cap crunch means they desperately need players on budget contracts who can produce. 

    Leaving Hayes unprotected is a risk, but a calculated one. She’s a 35-year-old unrestricted free agent who has already announced her retirement once, all of which are good reasons for the Valkyries to pass on her. As for Stokes, the team often looked better when she was off the floor, and her skillset is perhaps the easiest one to replace in the league. 

    The Sparks are another team that almost certainly have four locks to be protected: Cameron Brink, Rickea Jackson, Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens. While Rae Burrell isn’t quite in that “locks” group, she should be safe as well. Her shooting and versatility on the wing figure to be perfect for new head coach Lynne Roberts’ system. 

    The final spot for the Sparks’ protected list is more difficult to predict. Stephanie Talbot is coming off a very rough 2024, but her career performance would suggest she’s a good fit for Roberts’ approach. Lexie Brown can really shoot the ball when she’s healthy, but has only played 28 total games in the last two seasons. Kia Nurse has never lived up to the early hype and is an unrestricted free agent anyway The team needs a point guard, especially after Layshia Clarendon’s retirement and losing the Paige Bueckers sweepstakes in the draft lottery, but the choices there aren’t super inspiring. Aari McDonald is a serious pest on defense, but she can’t shoot. Julie Allemand, meanwhile, might be the best player of the bunch, but there’s no guarantee she ever returns to the W. 

    Point guard is the most clear need, so perhaps they just go with Allemand and hope that they can convince her to come back to the States for the first time since 2022. This feels like a total toss-up, though. 

    Considering their depth, you might think that the Lynx would be a difficult team to predict. On the contrary, it seems quite obvious what they’ll do. 

    The entire starting lineup is a lock to be protected. That’s Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams, Bridget Carleton and Alanna Smith. For their final spot, they’ll almost certainly add former No. 2 pick Diamond Miller to the list. Injuries and inexperience forced her out of the rotation late last season, but she has the most promise of any of their young players. 

    The reigning champion Liberty also have terrific depth, but their choices do not appear to be as clear cut as the Lynx, the team they snuck past to win the first title in franchise history. 

    We’ll start with the obvious ones. Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones, Betnijah Laney-Hamilton and Leonie Fiebich, their starters throughout the playoffs, are guaranteed to be protected. But what about the final spot? The downside of the Liberty’s impressive roster building is they’re going to lose a key piece, and they don’t have an obvious choice to protect. Let’s run through the list of options. 

    Rebekah Gardner: She missed all of last season with a foot injury and will turn 35 next season. Underrated player who will make an impact for the Liberty next season, but not a likely candidate for the Valkyries to steal. 

    Courtney Vandersloot: She’s going to be 36 by the time next season starts and fell out of the starting lineup in the playoffs, but is still one of the best playmakers in the league. Her age and unrestricted free agent status make her an unlikely choice for the Valkyries. 

    Kayla Thornton: The veteran forward has long been one of the best role players in the league. She’s extremely tough, can guard all over the floor and her energy can change games. But would the Valkyries actually take her given the other options on the Liberty roster?

    Marine Johannes: One of the most exciting and inventive players on the planet, she was excellent in a sixth woman role in 2023. However, she can be a defensive liability and the Liberty won a title without her in large part due to their improvements on that side of the ball.

    Nyara Sabally: The unlikely hero in the title-clinching Game 5 win, Sabally ultimately feels like the player the Liberty will choose for their sixth protected spot. The former No. 5 overall pick is the youngest member of their rotation and the one with the most upside. Plus, they’re most in need of frontcourt depth. 

    The Mercury are one of the more top-heavy teams in the league, and Brittney Griner is ineligible for selection given her free agency and previous core status, so this should be a pretty easy process for them. They’ll protect Diana Taurasi, Kahleah Copper, Natasha Cloud, Rebecca Allen, Sophie Cunningham and Natasha Mack. And if Taurasi has indicated she’ll retire, they’ll protect Celeste Taylor instead of her. 

    In regard to Taurasi, it’s fair to ask if the Mercury should bother using a protected spot on her if she decides to play next season. After all, she’s going to turn 43 and an expansion franchise trying to get off the ground isn’t in desperate need of someone who could be injured or retire at any moment. 

    But Taurasi isn’t just any player. She’s one of the all-time greats and has spent her entire career in a Mercury uniform. There’s no reason to risk a contentious end to that relationship, especially when there’s no other standout options on the roster. 

    The Storm’s coaching staff, led by Noelle Quinn, is reportedly under investigation for alleged harassment of players, and there’s a good chance big changes take place in Seattle this winter. For now, though, the organization still has to come up with a list of six players to protect, even if they look to trade some of them later. 

    Nneka Ogwumike is ineligible to be selected by the Valkyries due to her free agency status and time spent under the core designation, which will make this process a bit easier for general manager Talisa Rhea. There are five seemingly obvious choices: Jewell Loyd, Skylar Diggins-Smith, Ezi Magbegor, Gabby Williams and Jordan Horston. 

    The player Seattle will choose for the final spot is a bit tougher to predict without knowing exactly what’s going on internally. Mercedes Russell could be an option if they fear Ogwumike might walk in free agency, which would leave them thin in the frontcourt. However, they will likely protect Nika Muhl, the No. 14 overall pick in 2024. She didn’t really get a chance last season, but she’s the most promising young player from the remaining group. 

    The Mystics are in an interesting spot. They are better than last season’s 14-26 record would suggest, but are still a ways away from being a serious playoff threat again. And while they have the Nos. 4 and 6 overall picks in the 2025 WNBA Draft, and maintain the rights to Elena Delle Donne, they do not have a coach or general manager. Furthermore, their roster is littered with young players who haven’t broken out, but have shown enough promise to make you think twice about letting them walk. 

    All of which is to say, good luck predicting what the Mystics are going to do with the final spots for their protected list. Shakira Austin, Brittney Sykes, Ariel Atkins and Aaliyah Edwards are locks, but who knows after that, especially when we don’t even have a philosophy or style of play to point us in the right direction. 

    The first big question is what to do about Delle Donne. Is she ever going to play again? If so, you probably have to put her on the list just to protect the trade value. Even with her age and injury history, you could extract a good return from another team this offseason. If not, then of course you leave her off. But what if it’s still unclear? Do you risk potentially wasting a spot on someone who decides in February that they don’t want to play again? That’s a tough call. 

    Then there’s the group of youngsters: Jade Melbourne, Sika Kone and Emily Engstler, all of whom showed real flashes last season, but also had bouts of inconsistency. And you cannot totally discount Karlie Samuelson, who isn’t in the prospect camp anymore but is an elite shooter. 

    In the end, the Mystics should choose Delle Donne and Engstler. They might get burned on the former, but you have to protect the asset. Meanwhile, if Engstler’s 3-point shooting (27 of 57, 47.4%) is in any way real, her versatility on the wing is going to make her a very valuable player. You have to keep her around to find out. 

  • A Biden Effort to Protect Old Forests Hasn’t Curbed BLM Logging — ProPublica

    This article was produced by ProPublica in partnership with Oregon Public Broadcasting. Sign up for Dispatches to get stories like this one as soon as they are published.

    Reporting Highlights

    • Earth Day Promise: In 2022, President Joe Biden announced a new effort to protect old forests, which are key to the fight against climate change. But it hasn’t made much of a difference.
    • Logging Continues: The Bureau of Land Management has allowed timber companies to cut these forests at a faster pace since Biden’s executive order than in the decade that preceded it.
    • Legal Battles: Conservation groups keep suing over what they claim are rushed timber sales, and they keep winning — but under a Trump administration, they may be unable to keep up.

    These highlights were written by the reporters and editors who worked on this story.

    On Earth Day in 2022, President Joe Biden stood among cherry blossoms and towering Douglas firs in a Seattle park to declare the importance of big, old trees. “There used to be a hell of a lot more forests like this,” he said, calling them “our planet’s lungs” and extolling their power to fight climate change.

    The amount of carbon trees suck out of the air increases dramatically with age, making older trees especially important. These trees are also rare: Less than 10% of forests in the lower 48 states remain unlogged or undisturbed by development.

    The president uncapped his pen, preparing to sign an executive order to protect mature and old-growth forests on federal lands. “I just think this is the beginning of a new day,” Biden said.

    But two years later, at a timber auction in a federal office in Roseburg, Oregon, this new day was nowhere to be seen. As journalists and protestors waited outside, logging company representatives filed through a secure glass door to a room where only “qualified bidders” were allowed.

    Up for sale this September morning were the first trees from an area of forest the Bureau of Land Management calls Blue and Gold. It holds hundreds of thousands of trees on 3,225 acres in southern Oregon’s Coast Range. Forests here can absorb more carbon per acre than almost any other on the planet.

    A week after Biden’s executive order, the Blue and Gold logging project had been shelved. Now it was back on.

    The BLM is moving forward with timber sales in dozens of forests like this across the West, auctioning off their trees to companies that will turn them into plywood, two-by-fours and paper products. Under Biden, the agency is on track to log some 47,000 acres of public lands, nearly the same amount as during President Donald Trump’s first term in office. This includes even some mature and old-growth forests that Biden’s executive order was supposed to protect. An Oregon Public Broadcasting and ProPublica analysis found the bureau has allowed timber companies to cut such forests at a faster pace since the executive order than in the decade that preceded it.

    Environmental activists protest outside the Bureau of Land Management office in Roseburg, Oregon, during a timber sale. The auction itself took place behind closed doors and only “qualified bidders” were allowed in.


    Credit:
    Leah Nash, special to ProPublica

    The BLM still reports to Biden until Trump takes office again in January, and it’s unclear what changes, if any, the new administration will make. Outgoing presidents often use this lame-duck period to take additional action on the environment and to protect public lands. In a statement, White House spokesperson Angelo Fernández Hernández wrote that the “Biden-Harris Administration has made unprecedented progress toward the climate-smart management and conservation of our nation’s forests.” He did not specifically answer questions about why Biden’s actions didn’t slow the BLM’s cutting of old forests — or about any further protections the administration is planning now.

    At the timber auction that September morning, the bidders emerged 80 minutes after they started. For $4.2 million, the administration had just sold off the first 561 acres of Blue and Gold, an estimated 83,259 trees.


    One of the most accessible patches of forest in the Blue and Gold project is 30 minutes up the highway from Roseburg.

    On a recent fall afternoon, Erich Reeder, a BLM wildlife surveyor who had just retired from the agency after 23 years, led the way there. The sun was out as he drove into the Coast Range, but soon after he turned off the highway and followed a single-lane road along the banks of Yellow Creek, trees shaded the way.

    Ribbons marked the edge of the area that will be logged. Reeder walked past them and into the forest, stepping lightly through sword ferns and over moss-covered logs, pausing to look down at a paper map or straight up at the varied canopy above.

    Erich Reeder, a retired BLM wildlife surveyor, in the forest above Oregon’s Yellow Creek, an area slated for future logging.


    Credit:
    Leah Nash, special to ProPublica

    In planning documents for Blue and Gold, the BLM describes this part of the forest as being composed of young, tightly packed trees with no remnants of older forest.

    But the trees here did not match that description. They were widely spaced. There were no stumps, no signs of previous logging. The forest was tall and wild, with large branches and multiple layers of canopy and understory. Native tree species including chinkapin oaks, western hemlock, western red cedar and grand fir intermixed with the dominant Douglas fir. Many of the biggest trees had thick, wrinkled bark, indicating old age.

    “You’re familiar with tree farms?” Reeder asked, describing the monoculture rows timber companies often plant after clear-cutting. This was the opposite.

    For some endangered species, old-growth forest matters immensely. Marbled murrelets, rotund coastal birds sometimes described as “flying potatoes,” nest only in the large, mossy branches of old trees. Spotted owls, which were at the center of the 1990s timber wars in this part of Oregon, require similar habitat to survive.

    Old trees also matter for climate change, as Biden noted in his Seattle speech. The larger a tree is, the more carbon it absorbs. Data from the U.S. Forest Service shows that in forests older than 200 years in Oregon, on average, the trees hold more than three times as much carbon per acre as young industrial timber plantations. Ultimately, leaving forests intact keeps more carbon out of the atmosphere than logging them and planting new ones.

    Down the hill toward Yellow Creek, Reeder pulled out a measuring tape at the base of one particularly large Douglas fir. Its diameter: 86 inches. If it was chopped down, Reeder could lie across the stump with more than a foot to spare.

    In the planning documents, the BLM estimated the trees in this area were around 90 years old.

    “Yeah, this is a little bit older than 90,” Reeder said dryly. He put its age at 400 to 600 years.

    Reeder, left, and Madeline Cowen, an organizer with the environmental group Cascadia Wildlands, measure an old-growth tree in the Yellow Creek area.


    Credit:
    Leah Nash, special to ProPublica


    BLM officials believe federal law forces them to keep chopping trees. It’s part of a balancing act between resource extraction and other priorities, like recreation and conservation. “We are a multi-use agency,” spokesperson Brian Hires wrote in response to questions from OPB and ProPublica. “We are committed to forest health and providing the timber Americans need.”

    Across the country, the agency manages 245 million acres, including vast territories of desert and juniper trees, along with rangeland it leases out to ranchers. Among its holdings in Oregon are 2.4 million acres of green forests.

    A big portion of these are known as O&C lands because they once belonged to the Oregon and California Railroad until a deal with Congress went wrong. The federal government took them back, resulting in a giant checkerboard of alternating public and private squares. The O&C Act of 1937 says the federal government must manage these lands for “permanent forest production” under the principle of “sustained yield,” helping local economies while also protecting watersheds and providing recreation opportunities.

    The timber industry interprets the 1937 act as primarily a logging mandate, and it has sued the BLM for setting aside too many O&C acres for conservation. This view is shared by local counties that historically received part of the BLM’s sales revenues to pay for schools and roads and that still rely on the industry for jobs. Trees cut on federal lands can’t be shipped overseas and typically go to local mills. And “it’s not just the mills,” says Doug Robertson, executive director of the Association of O&C Counties. “It’s everything that supports the mills: all of the manufacturing, the trucking, and on and on.”

    But how much logging the O&C Act mandates is subject to debate. The act directs the BLM to set its own quotas for timber sales, and it does so. In 2016, the agency drew up a regional logging plan with annual targets for each district in Oregon’s Coast Range, taking care, in theory, to avoid sensitive habitat for species like the spotted owl. It protected three-quarters of the O&C lands from regular logging, and even in those areas where logging would be allowed, there were new prohibitions against cutting the biggest, oldest trees.

    There were problems with the bureau’s approach, however.

    It created its logging maps based on a database of tree ages that local staff in Oregon warned didn’t accurately capture the old-growth forest that serves as owl habitat. A leaked 2014 memo by a BLM wildlife biologist suggested that the bureau “field verify all stands” before deciding which areas could be cut, meaning it should visually inspect them instead of relying on data alone.

    There’s no evidence agency officials followed this recommendation. They used the database in developing the 2016 plan and again in recent years in deciding which Blue and Gold areas would be up for sale.

    The BLM also has tried to avoid detailed environmental reviews as it moves to log in new areas, saying it sufficiently considered impacts in 2016. Over and over, conservation groups have sued to demand full reviews, which can be required by federal law. Over and over, courts have decided against the bureau, in most cases directing it to redo its analysis before logging can continue. The BLM lost at least three such lawsuits between 2019 and 2022, with judges ruling that it failed to take a “hard look” at impacts or calling its decisions “arbitrary and capricious.”

    This approach could have ended with Biden’s Earth Day executive order. It called for a national inventory of mature and old-growth forests, an analysis of the threats to them, and future regulations to protect them. But all of these prescriptions ultimately have proved too vague to bring about change.

    Unlike the BLM, the U.S. Forest Service, the biggest federal forestland manager in Oregon and the country, responded to Biden’s order by proposing to update management plans for all national forests with new regulations for protecting old growth. These plans outline how a forest will be managed — like logging parameters, species protections, restoration projects and road maintenance. The updates will include a prohibition on cutting old growth solely for commercial reasons.

    The BLM, on the other hand, said nothing about changing its current forest plans. Hires, the agency spokesperson, wrote that Biden’s executive order builds on the bureau’s “existing efforts” to protect mature and old-growth forests, offering “further clarity” but not a new direction. The BLM did issue a new rule stating it is “working to ensure” that these forests are managed to “promote their continued health and resilience.” But the rule does not include hard stipulations protecting them from logging — so the logging continues.

    OPB and ProPublica compared the agency’s forest database for Oregon to its timber records and found that in the past two years, the BLM oversaw logging in more than 10,000 acres of forest it labeled as at least 80 years old — the age at which the BLM and Forest Service consider western Oregon’s conifers to be “mature”. The average number of acres of older forest logged annually since the president’s executive order is already higher than in any two-year span since at least 2013.

    On Dead Horse Ridge, in a part of Oregon’s Coast Range known as Blue and Gold, clear-cut private lands meet forested public lands. Soon, much of this whole area could be logged.


    Credit:
    Leah Nash, special to ProPublica

    Last year, a pair of appellate court rulings called into question the idea that the O&C Act is little more than a logging mandate. Judges affirmed the BLM and its parent agency, the Department of Interior, have “significant discretion” in determining how much to cut and where. “The Department’s duty to oversee the lands is obligatory,” reads a 2023 opinion from the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, “but treating every parcel as timberland is not.”

    For now, tree sales set in motion in 2016 are still in motion. The bureau does not expect to revisit its logging plan for Oregon’s Coast Range until 2028 at the earliest. The list of areas to be cut, including Blue and Gold, remains unchanged. And it is likely the incoming administration will look to expand logging on public lands. Project 2025, a transition plan prepared by Trump allies at The Heritage Foundation, mentions the O&C Act by name and recommends that “the new Administration must immediately fulfill its responsibilities and manage the O&C lands for ‘permanent forest production’ to ensure that the timber is ‘sold, cut, and removed.’”

    Since Biden’s executive order, environmental groups have sued the BLM at least four more times for avoiding full environmental reviews of logging projects. In two of these cases, the bureau again lost in court. A third case ended in a settlement, with the bureau agreeing to pause operations and redo its environmental analysis.

    The newest case, filed three days before the timber auction in Roseburg, is over Blue and Gold.


    To give access to loggers within the Blue and Gold project area, the BLM plans to improve “existing roads” like the one pictured here, which would include clearing underbrush and potentially cutting trees.


    Credit:
    Leah Nash, special to ProPublica

    Environmental groups in Oregon can’t challenge every BLM logging project. “We just don’t have the capacity,” said attorney Nick Cady of Cascadia Wildlands, one of three groups that filed a joint lawsuit to stop the plan for Blue and Gold. This one stands out, he said, because of the apparent age of the forest.

    Blue and Gold is also the only logging project known to have been paused in response to Biden’s executive order, then reinstated.

    Heather Whitman, the BLM district manager in Roseburg, says the bureau remade the logging plan for Blue and Gold after she decided to pause it. The project now relies more on forest thinning and less on methods that, to a layperson, can look much like clear-cuts. “Quite a bit changed,” she says.

    But Blue and Gold still depends on the same database of forest ages as before, and, as the new lawsuit points out, questions about the data’s accuracy remain. In 2022, the bureau declared the forest above Yellow Creek to be 60 years old. In 2024, after restarting the project, the bureau inexplicably revised the forest’s age to 90 years. A dozen other areas had their ages jump around, too. A handful are said to be younger now than they were two years ago.

    After all that, nearly as many acres of Blue and Gold will be logged as would have been before. Roseburg officials wrote that the project must proceed because of their district’s ongoing “need to produce timber volume.”

    Trees greater than 40 inches in diameter or older than about 175 years are, in most cases, protected under the BLM’s 2016 management plan for Oregon’s Coast Range. But if logging does go forward here, the intact forests these trees now anchor will be transformed, says Reeder, the retired BLM surveyor. The older trees themselves, more exposed in the landscape, could be more vulnerable to windstorms. The soil around them could dry out.

    The BLM estimates that after logging, the risk of wildfires — a focus of Biden’s Earth Day speech — will go down in Blue and Gold in the long term, but that for decades some areas of forest will have a higher fire risk. If burned, the trees’ stored carbon will be released back into the atmosphere.

    Because the BLM skipped a comprehensive environmental review of Blue and Gold, it did not look in detail at how the project will affect carbon storage and climate change. The new lawsuit claims that the bureau also skipped detailed analyses of other potential impacts, including heightened landslide risk and invasions of nonnative plants.

    The BLM did carry out a quicker initial review of likely impacts to the ecosystem, including hiring a contractor to search the forest for endangered spotted owls. But “it was rushed at the beginning,” recalled Tom Baxter, one of the owl surveyors hired to do the job.

    First image: Tom Baxter, who has been a spotted owl surveyor for 14 years, at his home in Dexter, Oregon. Baxter, who surveyed the Blue and Gold project area for the Bureau of Land Management, said the project was rushed and short-staffed, and that the equipment he was given was not high quality. Second image: Spotted owl survey markers in the Yellow Creek area.


    Credit:
    Leah Nash, special to ProPublica

    Baxter said the contractor he worked for was called in just weeks ahead of the survey. As a result, his team was shorthanded. Then the BLM had the surveyors fan out across the entire project area, instead of focusing on the parts of the forest most likely to have owls — a “peanut butter” approach that he says spread the team too thin.

    “We were wasting our time in places where I knew there weren’t going to be spotted owls,” Baxter recalled.

    What the bureau’s initial review does show is that the Blue and Gold project will destroy 119 acres of prime spotted owl habitat and “downgrade” another 1,539 acres. The logging will periodically cloud the waters of Yellow Creek, where threatened Oregon Coast coho salmon go to spawn. And it could kill or harm up to 13 endangered murrelet chicks.

    But the BLM, summing up its findings in a notice published two weeks before the first trees went on sale, concluded that there would be “no significant impact” on the environment.

    Cady, the Cascadia Wildlands attorney, disagrees. For conservation groups, Blue and Gold is just the latest logging project that Biden’s executive order failed to stop. “There is a massive disconnect between the administration and what’s happening on the ground,” Cady said.

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    Correction

    Nov. 13, 2024: This story originally misstated a logging project’s impact on endangered marbled murrelet chicks. It could kill or harm an estimated 13 of them; it isn’t definitively known that it will kill them.

    Agnel Philip of ProPublica contributed data analysis.