Tag: hard

  • She hoped to learn more about her enslaved ancestors. A trip South revealed hard truths.

    Earlier this year, as she and her spouse piled into their Hyundai Tucson and prepared to travel the American South seeking answers about the ancestors she knew had been enslaved, Michelle Johnson found other questions suddenly on her mind.

    Am I deluding myself, she wondered? Will I actually find anyone? Is this really that important?

    “I just had to let go and say, let’s go for it and see what happens,” the retired Boston professor said.  “I had some trepidation. But look how it paid off.”

    Johnson’s long journey through family keepsakes, official documents and ultimately the land where her ancestors once toiled illustrates both the complex challenges and rewards for Black Americans, logistically and emotionally, in pursuing their genealogical histories.

    In the past, the thought of digging into her family history had never occurred to Johnson, who’d taught journalism at Boston University. An heirloom family Bible offered names and family rumors swirled around other details, but she harbored little hope of finding much more.

    “We all knew that as African Americans that our records are spotty,” she said. “There’s this thing called slavery that gets in the way of going down any serious rabbit holes.”

    Michelle Johnson, professor emerita of journalism at Boston University, holds a photo of her great-great-grandfather Simon Peak in Glenn Springs, S.C., where according to 1870 census records Peak briefly lived as an adolescent, in April 2024. Johnson and spouse Myrna Greenfield drove from Boston to North and South Carolina in search of genealogical information about Johnson's mother's side of the family.

    Michelle Johnson, professor emerita of journalism at Boston University, holds a photo of her great-great-grandfather Simon Peak in Glenn Springs, S.C., where according to 1870 census records Peak briefly lived as an adolescent, in April 2024. Johnson and spouse Myrna Greenfield drove from Boston to North and South Carolina in search of genealogical information about Johnson’s mother’s side of the family.

    Prior to 1870’s post-emancipation census, enslaved individuals were often listed only by their first names, gender and age.

    “To put it in a nutshell, you’re looking for people listed as property rather than as people,” said Hollis Gentry, a genealogy information specialist for the Smithsonian Libraries and Archives in Washington, D.C. “African American lives were valued according to how much they could produce as laborers.”

    As a result, Black Americans are required not only to research their own families but those who enslaved them, Gentry said.

    Ric Murphy, president general of the Society of the First African Families of English America, a heritage society based in Palmyra, Virginia, said those potential roadblocks have discouraged many from delving into their family histories.

    “However, as new documents are surfacing because people are now learning to do genealogical searches, the brick wall of 1870 has been shattered,” Murphy said. “A lot of obstacles were put in our way, but we’re becoming very sophisticated in navigating the genealogical land mines that are out there. It’s so much harder for us, but also more rewarding as well.”

    Johnson, 68, had signed up for an Ancestry.com account, intrigued by family stories and photos supplied by her mother, Doris Yarborough Johnson. Realizing there were gaps in the story that couldn’t be filled by just searching databases, she was inspired to act after watching episodes of “Finding Your Roots,” the PBS show hosted by Harvard University professor Henry Louis Gates Jr.

    Dr. Henry Louis Gates of "Finding Your Roots" speaks during the PBS segment of the Summer 2019 Television Critics Association Press Tour 2019 at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on July 29, 2019 in Beverly Hills, California.

    Dr. Henry Louis Gates of “Finding Your Roots” speaks during the PBS segment of the Summer 2019 Television Critics Association Press Tour 2019 at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on July 29, 2019 in Beverly Hills, California.

    “I had this sense that there was information locked up in libraries or maybe some church records, that there was probably stuff I was missing,” she said. “That was the big impetus for this trip, to break out of the digital space and just go down and see if I could find documents that hadn’t been digitized.”

    She decided to travel South.

    The experience, Johnson said, was significant not only on a personal level but on a broader one as well.

    “It confirmed that Black history is American history,” she said. “There are people who want to separate it out and make it all about the Founding Fathers, but there’s history that predates all of us in this country, and the history of African Americans being enslaved and how they survived and excelled in the years after. … It just taught me about resilience and that the American dream exists in a number of ways.”

    A journey to the past begins

    Johnson and spouse Myrna Greenfield left Boston in April on a journey that would see them wander old graveyards and get tailgated by impatient locals on two-lane backroads in search of four family names: Yarborough, Peaks, Turner and Mills.

    “This wasn’t just a road trip,” she wrote in a narrative she compiled about her journey. “It was a pilgrimage into the heart of my family’s history.”

    A collage of photos showing Michelle Johnson and spouse Myrna Greenfield embarking on their trip from Boston to South Carolina and North Carolina in search of genealogical information about Johnson's maternal side of the family, from a narrative report Johnson ultimately produced about their findings. Johnson, a retired journalism professor at Boston University, was inspired to make the trip after watching the PBS show, "Finding Your Roots."

    A collage of photos showing Michelle Johnson and spouse Myrna Greenfield embarking on their trip from Boston to South Carolina and North Carolina in search of genealogical information about Johnson’s maternal side of the family, from a narrative report Johnson ultimately produced about their findings. Johnson, a retired journalism professor at Boston University, was inspired to make the trip after watching the PBS show, “Finding Your Roots.”

    Johnson mostly hoped to find where her mother’s family members were from, maybe even the plantations they had worked on. She was curious about her mother’s Scotch-Irish maiden name of Yarborough and had been aware of census records listing some family members as mulatto.

    “I knew from my grandmother telling me stories about the slave owner slipping down to the slave quarters that we had sides of our family who could pretty much pass for white,” she told USA TODAY. “But we didn’t know who they were or where that had happened.”

    Her search had become more than just a hobby. She needed to understand, as so many others do, her place in the world and those whose lives had paved the way for her own success.

    For Black Americans, she wrote, such searches can be fraught with complexities, with family histories “inextricably intertwined with the painful legacy of slavery, the struggles of Reconstruction and the ongoing fight for equality and justice.”

    Johnson had two destinations in mind. Her mother had shared fond memories of Winston-Salem, North Carolina, where she’d lived as a young girl, and of Spartanburg, South Carolina, where she’d been born and spent summers with her grandparents.

    Librarians in both places were more helpful than she could have imagined. When she visited Spartanburg, a local librarian had pulled materials in advance, with books and computer printouts on a table awaiting her arrival.

    “I dropped my jaw when we walked up and she showed us what she’d found,” Johnson said. “Not only was there a fair amount of material on us, but she explained that was because my family was owned by one of the biggest plantation and slave owners in the county.”

    In Spartanburg, S.C., librarian Christen Bennett, at left, shows retired Boston University professor Michelle Johnson materials detailing some of Johnson's maternal family history. Johnson was inspired to travel from Boston to South and North Carolina doing genealogical research after watching episodes of the PBS show, "Finding Your Roots."

    In Spartanburg, S.C., librarian Christen Bennett, at left, shows retired Boston University professor Michelle Johnson materials detailing some of Johnson’s maternal family history. Johnson was inspired to travel from Boston to South and North Carolina doing genealogical research after watching episodes of the PBS show, “Finding Your Roots.”

    That individual, she learned, was Govan Mills, who according to an 1850 “slave schedule” owned more than 100 slaves in North Carolina and South Carolina.

    “Records for the white side are always voluminous because they had to file taxes, slave schedules and records of real estate sales and purchases,” Johnson said. “I about passed out. I had been looking for this information for years, and all of a sudden there it was right in front of me.”

    She and Greenfield started highlighting printouts and taking photos of pages from non-circulated books that detailed bits of her family history. Johnson learned slaves were used not just as labor but as collateral to purchase land and goods, with two individuals she believed to be Jerry and Myra Mills, her great-great-grandparents, listed by their first names in those 1850 records.

    Discovering lived truths prompts mix of emotions

    Unearthing the lived truths of one’s ancestors, especially those affected by enslavement, can unleash a variety of emotions, the Smithsonian’s Gentry said.

    “You get the whole gamut, from ecstasy and joy to sorrow and grief,” she said. “It’s like, ‘I found them,’ and there’s joy in that. Then there’s the grief of realizing, they had a monetary value and were treated in a certain manner. … It’s sad when you realize the implications of that information.”

    While Johnson had had years to accept the idea that her ancestors had been enslaved, to see their status officially documented was jarring.

    She learned the grand home where Govan Mills once lived not only still stood just across the border in Tryon, North Carolina, but was listed on the National Register of Historic Places. She unearthed an online invitation to a recent event that provided directions to the site.

    A family photo of Myra Mills, the great-great-grandmother of retired Boston University professor Michelle Johnson. Johnson, who traveled to South Carolina and North Carolina in April 2024 to research her family history, said Mills and her husband Jerry were born into slavery and was able to locate the house in Tryon, N.C., where their slave owner once lived.

    A family photo of Myra Mills, the great-great-grandmother of retired Boston University professor Michelle Johnson. Johnson, who traveled to South Carolina and North Carolina in April 2024 to research her family history, said Mills and her husband Jerry were born into slavery and was able to locate the house in Tryon, N.C., where their slave owner once lived.

    She and Greenfield drove there, hoping to find the house and snap a quick picture in front, with Johnson holding a photo of her great-great-grandmother. Instead, they encountered the home’s current residents, a white couple who invited them in for beverages and a tour, the four of them discussing art, history and genealogy – a scenario that would have been beyond Jerry and Myra Millswildest imaginings.

    Before seeing Johnson and Greenfield off and inviting them to return, Jeff and Sherry Carter showed them the former kitchen and slave quarters behind the home, as well as the will that Govan Mills had left in 1862 valuing Jerry and Myra Mills and their two children at $2,700 ‒ about $8 million in today’s dollars.

    “They had taken the slave cabin and pieced it together with this old kitchen and use it as a guesthouse now,” Johnson said. “There was a ladder leaning up against it and they told us the enslaved persons working there would have used it to up to the second level. … I wondered if any of my relatives would have been there. Would they have worked in that kitchen? To be in that space where some of them might have been was really moving.”

    Census records from 1870 showed Jerry and Myra Mills stayed in the Spartanburg area post-emancipation, where they legalized their marriage in 1866 – a right not allowed them when they were enslaved. By 1900, Myra was listed as a widow, and her 1916 death record listed the cause as cancer, her parents and birthplace unknown.

    The Mills’ lives spanned two major American historical periods, the antebellum South and the post-Civil War era. Their twice-widowed daughter Susan, meanwhile, would continue the family line from Reconstruction to the early Civil Rights Movement, her two marriages looping in the family names of Turner and Peak.

    Because South Carolina kept no official records before 1911, Johnson said, no record existed of Susan’s marriage to Andy Turner, estimated by Ancestry.com to have occurred around 1893. By 1920, however, records showed she was married to farmer Simon Peak, a former slave who grew up during the Civil War.

    A page from an early 1930s-era yearbook of former Atkins High School in Winston-Salem, N.C., shows Dowd Yarborough Jr. at bottom. Yarborough was the maternal grandfather of Michelle Johnson, a retired Boston University professor inspired to dig into her family history and travel to North Carolina and South Carolina to research her mother's side of the family.

    A page from an early 1930s-era yearbook of former Atkins High School in Winston-Salem, N.C., shows Dowd Yarborough Jr. at bottom. Yarborough was the maternal grandfather of Michelle Johnson, a retired Boston University professor inspired to dig into her family history and travel to North Carolina and South Carolina to research her mother’s side of the family.

    Those same records showed 9-year-old Annie Mae, Johnson’s grandmother, among the children listed in the Peak household. The Peaks would relocate to Winston-Salem between 1930 and 1937.

    Meanwhile, Annie Mae Peak would marry Dowd Yarborough in 1935, the couple eventually moving to Baltimore. While Dowd perished under mysterious circumstances, Annie Mae persevered with just a grade-school education, pushing her three children to succeed, with Johnson’s mother and uncle earning advanced degrees from historically Black universities.

    ‘The ancestors will speak to you’

    The trip far exceeded Johnson’s expectations, and as she and Greenfield began their trip back to Boston, Johnson suggested a slight detour to rural Franklinton, North Carolina, where a death certificate had told her a member of the Yarborough family had been buried.

    The two wandered a local cemetery once set aside for nonwhites and found several Yarboroughs, but none matched the names from Johnson’s research. Instead, they stopped for lunch, where their waitress asked what had brought them to town, chuckling when she heard they were seeking Yarboroughs; the area was full of them.

    The waitress suggested heading to a nearby small town called Oxford, which had a genealogy room.

    There, a librarian led them to county directories with family narratives in alphabetical order. When Johnson flipped to the ‘Y’ section, she discovered a page featuring many of the names she’d encountered in her research, with more stories indicating slave roots and noting “all members of this branch of Yarboroughs were/are all mulattos.”

    A page from a library collection of family histories detailing the Yarborough family in a region north of Raleigh. Retired journalism professor Michelle Johnson came across the book at an Oxford, N.C., library while researching her family genealogy in April 2024. Yarborough was her mother's maiden name.

    A page from a library collection of family histories detailing the Yarborough family in a region north of Raleigh. Retired journalism professor Michelle Johnson came across the book at an Oxford, N.C., library while researching her family genealogy in April 2024. Yarborough was her mother’s maiden name.

    The whole detour had been by chance – or had it? The librarian felt otherwise, saying that when people visited the genealogy room they often said they felt guided by ancestors.

    Johnson had to agree.

    “We would have completely missed this had I not stopped there,” Johnson said. “It was a hell of a way to end the trip.”

    Murphy, of the heritage society, said Johnson’s experience echoes those he’s heard from others who have made that emotional journey.

    “I tell people all the time that once you start genealogy, the ancestors will speak to you,” he said. “They will often tell you where to look and whether a piece of paper is important enough. The ancestors are very restless, and almost everyone will say the ancestors guided them.”

    Honoring memory, forging identity

    While more than 400 heritage societies operate in the U.S., few specialize in verifying the histories of people descending from those once enslaved, Gentry said.

    Johnson knows she isn’t a professional genealogist and eventually hopes to have her findings certified. In the meantime, though, she still hopes to research her father’s side of the family.

    A collage of photos taken in April 2024 by retired Boston University professor Michelle Johnson of the home where former slave owner Govan Mills lived in Tryon, N.C.. Johnson, 68, traveled to North and South Carolina to research her maternal family history, discovering that Mills had owned Jerry and Myra, Johnson's great-great-grandparents, as slaves. She ended up meeting the home's current owners, who toured her around the house and former slave quarters.

    A collage of photos taken in April 2024 by retired Boston University professor Michelle Johnson of the home where former slave owner Govan Mills lived in Tryon, N.C.. Johnson, 68, traveled to North and South Carolina to research her maternal family history, discovering that Mills had owned Jerry and Myra, Johnson’s great-great-grandparents, as slaves. She ended up meeting the home’s current owners, who toured her around the house and former slave quarters.

    She’s shared copies of her narrative with her family so younger generations can pass it on to their kids.

    “In doing so,” she wrote, “we not only honor their memory but also forge a stronger sense of our own identity.”

    Johnson said Black Americans daunted by the task of researching their own family trees should start small. Tools now available have made it much easier, she said, especially as companies like Ancestry.com incorporate the power of artificial intelligence.

    Such advances have inspired new waves of amateur and professional researchers, in the way that author Alex Haley’s 1976 novel “Roots” sparked an interest in documenting Black American genealogy with the resources at hand.

    “Genealogical research has been democratized,” Gentry said.

    Reclaiming those stories, Johnson said, is critical given recent movements to whitewash American history.

    “I hope that folks make sure it continues to be taught in our educational institutions, but if it doesn’t, we will do what the ancestors did,” she said. “We will tell our own stories.”

    This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Family genealogy: For Black Americans, search offers trials, rewards

  • Football 301 Playbook: What makes the NFC West so hard to predict?

    It’s wild out west in the NFC. The Seahawks, Cardinals, Rams are all vying to usurp the back-to-back division champion (and preseason conference favorite) 49ers who are currently reeling as they send even more players to the injured reserve.

    In this week’s playbook, I took a gander at the four teams in the NFC West, their current odds to win the division, what they’re doing to give them a chance, and what lingering question(s) I still have as they make the final push over the last month of the season.

    Let the battle royale out west begin!

    DVOA data via FTNFantasy

    All other data via TruMedia unless otherwise noted

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    Current odds to win the division (via BetMGM): +150

    After stumbling into their bye week at 4-5, the Seahawks ripped off three straight wins and now sit here in Week 14 leading the division. Their offense, which has constantly been hampered by inconsistent and outright poor play along the offensive line, has started to build cohesion since Seattle’s bye. Center Connor Williams retired and has since been replaced by second-year player Olu Oluwatimi. Right tackle Abe Lucas returned from injury in Week 11 and finally slowed down the perpetual bleeding that had been happening on a majority of plays in his absence. The pressure rate allowed by Seahawks right tackles was 15.8% from Weeks 1-9, the highest in the NFL, but has dropped to 8.2% since Week 10, slightly better than the league average of 9.2%, per NextGenStats. While right guard has been a revolving door for the Seahawks, with the Week 13 start going to sixth-round rookie Sataoa Laumea (over third-rounder Christian Haynes), the Seahawks building consistency and chemistry along their front has started to pay dividends now that they have started to get healthier and the real characters for the unit moved to the forefront.

    Against the Jets in Week 13, after some early botches (both involving Laumea), the Seahawks’ front started to get real movement with their double-teams as they started leaning onto the duo run concept. Players were consistently going to their right assignments and running backs Zach Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker III both did a great job of choosing the correct running lanes.

    Blocking gets better as more players are able to put in time together. Variables like how long to hold a double-team or going to the exact right assignment get cleaner and improve as players (and coaches) are able to set and define their rules and timing.

    It’s not all amazing for the Seahawks up front and on offense as they’re still a unit that ranks around league average, but a better run game, or at least one that defenses have to honor, gives a chance to get the ball to one of their talented backs and also makes life easier for QB Geno Smith and the passing game.

    Smith is still as high-flying as ever with his play, automatically defaulting to the hard way like Marty McFly at the Pleasure Paradise Casino. Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb adjusts well throughout games, but still has moments of frustration with situational play-calling (the Seahawks are terrified to run the ball in short yardage, making their offensive line improvements even more paramount). But there are fun splashes in this offense, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba is starting to emerge in a more expanded role around the formation.

    On defense, the Ernest Jones trade has helped solidify this defense from an inconsistent unit to a rapidly improving group that’s playing faster and faster in Mike Macdonald’s kaleidoscopic scheme. The Seahawks’ front (Leonard Williams has been one of the best defenders in football the past month) and backend (Devon Witherspoon is a dynamo and Julian Love has been unlocked in this defense) have talented players. But the poor play in the middle of the defense got exposed on a near-weekly basis, especially in the run game. Since Jones has arrived, the Seahawks have gone from a sieve on the ground to one of the better run defenses, and overall units, in the NFL. Without Jones, the Seahawks allowed a 41.9% rushing success rate, which would rank 27th among NFL defenses between the Falcons and Commanders. With Jones on the field, the Seahawks allowed a rushing success rate of 35.8%, tied for seventh-best with the Bills. Their EPA against the run makes a similar type jump and their overall EPA per play allowed goes from a number in the middle of the pack without Jones (-.04, 13th) to a top-five unit with Jones (-.08, tied-fifth).

    This again matches what this defense looks and feels like when watching the Seahawks. Against the Cardinals in Week 12, the Seahawks allowed only two successful runs to the Cardinals RBs on 12 carries —significant considering the strength of the Cardinals’ ground attack.

    Can the Seahawks continue to rely on their run game? From Weeks 1-9, the Seahawks ran the ball on only 29.9% of their first- and second-down plays, making for the second-highest early down pass rate in the NFL over that time. Their early down rushing success rate ranked 29th in the league. So, the Seahawks didn’t run the ball much and were bad at it when they did over the first two months of the season. Since Week 10, the Seahawks run the ball on 42.9% of their early down plays, which ranks 17th. Their rushing success rate has also bumped up to a more tolerable 35.7%, middle of the pack at 16th. Those are efficiency and usage bumps that match the eye test and something that will be imperative for them to make the playoffs and possibly win a game once they’re there.

    The Seahawks have the seventh-hardest schedule remaining, in terms of DVOA. A huge game against the Cardinals this weekend that gives the winner pole position in the division the rest of the way is then followed up with games against the Packers, Vikings, Bears and Rams.

    While the improvements with the Seahawks’ defense are real, with Jones and the players becoming more well-versed in Macdonald’s defense, the offensive line, while definitely improved, still causes me some hesitation unless there’s even more rapid improvement. Some of the details and execution, or lack thereof, still give me apprehension. There’s a chance that they continue to get better as the weeks go along, but until it’s more consistent than just a few series or halves against ailing teams, it’s hard to fully hang my hat on it.

    Current odds to win the division (via BetMGM): +170

    To start, the Cardinals have one of the best offenses in the NFL. They rank fifth in offensive success rate, fourth in explosive play rate, 10th in EPA per play, and seventh in DVOA. They are a balanced offense in terms of play-calling (17th in early down passing rate) but are built through their expansive run game behind a well-coached offensive line, a bevy of tight ends, and talented runners in RBs James Conner and Trey Benson and a little dash of QB Kyler Murray’s legs that have ripped off more explosive runs than any other offense in the NFL.

    Murray has been playing some of the best football of his career as a passer, too. The discipline that head coach Jonathan Gannon and the Cardinals coaches, including offensive coordinator Drew Petzing, have instilled on this team has carried over to the signal-caller. Murray has operated more from under center than he ever has in his career, college and high school included. Murray has 70 dropbacks from under center this season. He recorded 125 combined over his previous five NFL seasons. Of Murray’s 1,381 yards passing from under center in his career, 613 have come from just the 12 games this season. And Petzing pushing Murray out of his Air Raid background that he’s comfortable with has been rewarded as the season has gone along. Murray currently leads the NFL in QBR and has recorded the highest success rate on pass attempts of his entire career (his 51.5% success rate on pass attempts, so dropbacks excluding sacks and scrambles, ranks sixth in the NFL this season), while also ranking fourth in rushing yards by QBs this season.

    Trey McBride is in lockstep with his QB and has ascended to, at the very least, being on the podium for “best tight end in the game.” McBride and Murray’s chemistry is palpable every time you watch the Cardinals’ offense, with McBride getting a steady diet of targets. Rookie wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., to the chagrin of many fantasy owners, has been asked to run a more traditional outside-focused route tree before adding layers and branches across the formation as the season has gone along. While there have been some inconsistencies with Harrison at the catch point, his advanced route running and ability to win on a multitude of routes has been apparent. Michael Wilson is another strong outside receiver for Murray to target and makes the most of his touches every week.

    The Cardinals love using McBride and their other tight ends in the run game and will pull their blockers more than any other team in the NFL, using creative motion and formation tweaks to add perceived complexity for defenses to deal with. Left tackle Paris Johnson Jr. is a future star, and while the rest of their offensive line lacks true needle-moving talent, the Cardinals play with sound rules and offensive line coach Klayton Adams gets them consistently all moving in the right direction.

    The Cardinals’ defense, which has been typically more fun and interesting than actually good under Nick Rallis since the start of 2023 because of their lack of talent, has started to not only improve, but look outright good.

    The Cardinals’ defense currently ranks ninth in DVOA for the entire season and since Week 7 ranks eighth in EPA per play allowed. You read that right. A defense that most NFL fans would struggle to even name a single starter on (even when I include star safety Budda Baker) is now creeping into the top 10 for every football writer’s favorite efficiency numbers.

    This defense, which still lacks high-end talent, has often needed smoke and mirrors to confuse quarterbacks and blockers. That includes flying Baker and the other safeties around at the snap of the ball to cause hesitation and mental errors, but often leaving the Cards susceptible to allowing big plays on their own end with all of the late movement and exotic pressure looks. The Cardinals blitz at a decent clip, but will also use simulated and creeper pressures to invert their four pass rushers and seven coverage players and try to create even more confusion for offensive players.

    The Cardinals will also drop eight defenders into coverage at one of the highest rates in the NFL, another way to turn the play-calling knobs until they create a positive play. But while the Cardinals have been resorting to this funkiness before, there are now results following this funk-laden process. Linebacker Zaven Collins epitomizes what this defense has been about. The Cardinals drafted Collins under a past regime, and he struggled to find a role to make a consistent impact early in his career. Under Rallis, Collins is tasked with just about everything. Sometimes he’s aligning as an edge rusher, sometimes as an off-ball linebacker, sometimes he’s in coverage, sometimes he’s rushing the passer. Collins was a tweener before, but now his versatility has been unlocked in this fluid defense that will trot out a few big bodies along the defensive line and then ask all of the other players in the front seven, and even on the backend, to do everything else. Every player can be used as a blitzer or in coverage on passing downs, making those downs messy for even some of the best offenses.

    Other defenders, like second-year players Dante Stills and Garrett Williams, are also emerging along with former castoffs like Roy Lopez. The Cardinals even traded for Baron Browning from the Broncos to give themselves more pass-rush juice. And, again, the process and more confident talent is starting to lead to results: the Cardinals were ranked 31st in pressure rate from Weeks 1-4. They have ranked eighth in pressure rate since Week 10.

    Can they finish drives and can they add more juice through the air?

    The Cardinals can move the ball and they can be explosive on the ground. But there are times when their passing game could be expanded more, especially on straight dropback concepts. They’re an offense designed to be methodical, but the passing game can feel a bit tight at times (19th in explosive pass rate). They can still get to big plays, especially with McBride hurdling people weekly, but they often come on designer plays on play-action concepts as opposed to the true flow of the offense.

    The Cardinals also move the ball well in the red zone (11th in success rate), but struggle a bit to finish drives with six points. That cropped up in Week 13 against the Vikings. The Cardinals currently rank 23rd in red zone drives that result in touchdowns. They’ve been able to hit a few big passes this season for scores, but getting more big plays through the air, and finishing the drives once they are near the end zone, will help this offense, and team, achieve even more success. The Cardinals face the 29th-most difficult schedule over the last month of the season, starting with their Week 14 battle against the Seahawks. With their run game, the play of Murray, the improvement on the defensive side, and a schedule that consists of the Patriots, Panthers, Rams, and 49ers after the Seahawks, makes them my favorite to win this division once it’s all said and done.

    Current odds to win the division (via BetMGM): +300

    Pokes and a pass rush. That’s the Rams in 2024.

    The Rams keep trying to get their offensive personnel healthy and the right group together along their offensive line, but no matter who is out there they’ve kept churning out an effective run game (second in rushing success rate) and efficient overall offense (second in offensive success rate).

    The Rams will find every possible way to get to their duo run scheme, shifting players and motioning Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp at the snap to insert on blocks or just to draw attention away from the point of attack on the play. Head coach Sean McVay will revert back to using more zone varieties to keep defenses from teeing off of their primary looks. The passing game is still efficient and dangerous with Matthew Stafford behind center, even when he’s under duress (more on that in a minute).

    Nacua has battled injuries this season but has still been just as good as he was as a rookie, even if he’s not on the record pace like he was during his inaugural campaign. He still snatches the football and remains a big, reliable target for Stafford while remaining a smooth-moving bully with the ball in his hands.

    The Rams’ defense is led by a young front that currently leads the NFL in team pressure rate and is third in pressure rate when rushing four or fewer players (the Rams, however, rank only 15th in overall pressure rate since Week 10). Rookies Jared Verse and Braden Fiske have both been impact players, especially when rushing the passer. Kobie Turner and Byron Young have played well in their second seasons, creating a group effort of high-energy players with the versatile Michael Hoecht being used to fill in wherever he is needed.

    Linebacker Christian Rozeboom has been solid this season, too, and even undrafted rookie linebacker Omar Speights has looked like a keeper since being dropped in as a starter.

    I have a few things to pick at with the Rams, even if I’m a huge fan of this offense and the young defensive front. When their defensive front doesn’t get pressure, things can get shaky. The Rams have allowed the eighth-highest explosive pass rate since Week 7 and they give up the sixth-highest success rate on dropbacks that take longer than 4 seconds this season. Their defensive backs play sound and very aware, but can get overwhelmed by more talented pass-catchers when they have to hold up on more extended dropbacks.

    Can the Rams’ offensive line finally gel and figure out their pass protection? I trust the run blocking of this unit. Even when dealing with injuries, their players are constantly sound in their execution, but there are times when the pass protection can be inconsistent. That can lead to Stafford, not exactly the quickest mover these days in the pocket, vulnerable to taking sacks or having to throw the ball away early.

    Speaking of Stafford, the Rams also have drastic splits in their effectiveness when facing man coverage compared to zone coverage.

    Can Rams head coach Sean McVay and QB Matthew Stafford keep scheming their way around the team's weaknesses? (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images)Can Rams head coach Sean McVay and QB Matthew Stafford keep scheming their way around the team's weaknesses? (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images)

    Can Rams head coach Sean McVay and QB Matthew Stafford keep scheming their way around the team’s weaknesses? So far, it’s worked. (Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images)

    This season, Stafford has faced the fourth-most dropbacks against man coverage. He ranks 24th in success rate and 28th in EPA per dropback on those plays (he improves to more middle of the pack with Kupp and Nacua both on the field). Against zone coverages, Stafford ranks first in success rate and 10th in EPA per dropback (first and seventh with Kupp and Nacua both on the field). That’s a drastic difference, especially if defenses can pick up on the split and change their own play-calling to take advantage of it (like the Saints did in Week 13 by running more man coverage before the Rams decided to steamroll them in the second half). This is a testament to McVay and the Rams’ offensive coaching staff’s ability to adjust as games go along (the Rams rank first in second-half success rate), but how the Rams look to alleviate their man coverage issue will be something I’m keeping my eye on. Nacua and Kupp aren’t the fastest receivers, and the rest of the Rams’ receiving corps doesn’t threaten defensive backs consistently enough for Stafford to reliably target them. Stafford not being a running threat can also compound this issue, since defenses can stick with man coverage and not worry about the QB running them out of the plays.

    The Rams have the ninth-hardest schedule remaining in terms of DVOA, with the Bills this weekend followed by games against the 49ers, Jets, Cardinals, and Seahawks. They are currently listed as +300 to win the division, with a game remaining against all of their division rivals.

    I trust the run game, I trust the QB, I trust the offensive staff, I really like the pass rush. This team could break any which way, win any (or every) game, maybe even one in the playoffs, or they could miss the playoffs completely. Any of those results and I would believe it. It’s a fun Rams team that does a lot well. Whether they have the horses, and/or the mental innovation, to shore up their weak points will determine how long this season goes.

    Current odds to win the division (via BetMGM): +1400

    This really can double as the lingering question section because what happened to the 49ers this season will need a further deep dive in the future.

    Pick a position and the 49ers have had significant injuries there. Hell, pick a type of injury and a 49ers player has probably had it this year. Everything from Achilles tendinitis to ACL tears to their first-round rookie receiver getting literally shot. Javon Hargrave tore a triceps. Talanoa Hufanga worked back from his own ACL injury in 2023 to play two games before suffering a wrist injury that has kept him out (he may return soon, though). Charvarius Ward has dealt with a knee injury and personal tragedy. Christian McCaffrey traveled the globe to figure out his ailments before returning and then succumbing to IR himself after the 49ers’ most recent game (the fitting 13th week of the season). His backup Jordan Mason joined him on IR this past week, too. George Kittle and Nick Bosa have missed time. Fred Warner is valiantly battling just to stay on the field. Dre Greenlaw still hasn’t seen the field after his devastating Super Bowl injury. Starting quarterback Brock Purdy missed a game with a shoulder injury that is still lingering.

    Dealing with that quantity of injuries will limit any team’s aspirations for the season. Every player I listed above, outside of Mason and Greenlaw, has made a Pro Bowl in their career. Most have made at least one All-Pro team. And despite that, the 49ers are still (technically) in the playoff race. Sure, it’s highly unlikely, but there’s still a tiny chance!

    It’s just been too much for the rest of the team to overcome. The 49ers’ offense has lacked real venom this season. They still ranked in or near the top 10 in all of the general efficiency stats. But it always felt harder this season than it has in recent seasons under Kyle Shanahan. With the 49ers’ skill players moving in and out of the lineup because of injuries, and a lack of resources spent on the offensive line to carry the weight during tough stretches, the offense has been mortal this season after feeling invulnerable for stretches over the past two seasons. If the season were to end today, this would be the 49ers’ lowest rushing success rate since 2019. Their lowest EPA per play since 2020. It would be their lowest explosive play rate and first downs per game since Shanahan’s first season in Santa Clara back in 2017. The McCaffrey injuries left the 49ers grasping to replace his impact (most felt with the lack of explosive plays and the 49ers’ frustrating forays into the red zone this season, where the 49ers put up their lowest scoring rates since 2018).

    The defense felt the absence of their impact players Ward, Greenlaw, Hargrave, and Hufanga (rookie Malik Mustapha has had some encouraging stretches on the backend, though). Offenses can attack the spine of this defense on the ground or through the air, with the ability to break more tackles on underneath throws without much out there to help Warner despite his best efforts. Teams are still not getting explosives against this defense, but offenses haven’t been this efficient against the 49ers since before they drafted Bosa in 2019. The 49ers allowing the highest success rate since 2018 speaks to this, but even looking at another stat indicates just how much easier it has been on offenses in 2024; the average distance to go for opposing offenses on third down against the 49ers is 6.7 yards this season, the shortest allowed since Shanahan has been the head coach of the 49ers.

    The 49ers still have that small, small chance to make the playoffs, which is a miracle considering their building has been essentially an infirmary this season. It’s tough to see them winning out given the current makeup of the team and what currently hinders them, but they remain fascinating to follow for the rest of the season and into the (shudder) offseason as well.

  • Îți amintești de James Howells care și-a pierdut hard diskul cu 8.000 de bitcoini care valorează acum 760 de milioane de dolari? Fosta lui iubită dezvăluie că ea a fost cea care a aruncat-o

    Îți amintești de James Howells care și-a pierdut hard diskul cu 8.000 de bitcoini care valorează acum 760 de milioane de dolari? Fosta lui iubită dezvăluie că ea a fost cea care a aruncat-o
    Îți amintești de James Howells care și-a pierdut hard diskul cu 8.000 de bitcoini care valorează acum 760 de milioane de dolari? Fosta lui iubită dezvăluie că ea a fost cea care a aruncat-o

    James Howells ar putea intra în cărțile de istorie drept unul dintre cei mai ghinionişti oameni din toate timpurile, după ce a aruncat sute de milioane de dolari în Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) accidental.

    Dar o nouă întorsătură în această saga bizară veche de un deceniu a dezvăluit că nu el a fost, ci fosta lui iubită, care a aruncat neintentionat averea.

    Ce s-a întâmplat: Halfina Eddy-Evans a mărturisit în timpul unui interviu de luni pentru Daily Mail că a aruncat hard disk-ul care conținea 8.000 de Bitcoin la cererea lui Howells. Ea a fost fermă că pierderea nu a fost vina ei, așa cum a făcut-o la cererea lui Howells.

    Nu ratați:

    Halfina a spus că Howells a „implorat-o” să arunce niște „afectiuni nedorite”, într-un sac negru, care, neștiut de ea, includea unitatea de disc.

    „M-am gândit că ar trebui să-și facă treburile, nu eu, dar am făcut-o ca să ajut”, a spus Howells.

    Halfina a spus că vina pentru pierderea Bitcoins nu ar trebui să fie asupra ei, deși ea speră că Howells va reuși să recupereze unitatea.

    De ce contează: Această revelație a adăugat un nou strat poveștii nefericite a lui Howells, care a purtat o luptă lungă pentru a-și recupera averea.

    Un inginer de software din Țara Galilor, Howells, a dat în judecată Consiliul orașului Newport pentru despăgubiri de aproximativ 647 de milioane de dolari pentru că i-a respins în mod repetat cererea de a excava groapa de gunoi care adăpostește hard disk-ul aruncat.

    El a adunat chiar și o echipă de specialiști pentru a excava fără costuri pentru consiliu și a propus să se acorde consiliului 10% din valoarea monedelor recuperate.

    Cei 8.000 de Bitcoin ar valora 797 de milioane de dolari la prețul maxim istoric de 99.645 înregistrat recent și 765,9 milioane de dolari la prețul actual de piață de 95.736,86 dolari.

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